Itâs not often that âMad Menâ intersects with DealBook territory. But Sunday nightâs episode gave us two reasons to dive into Don Draperâs world.
Before we move forward, we should note: Spoilers ahead, obviously.
The first, obviously, is Sterling Cooper Draper Pryceâs weighing a potential initial public offering. âFor Immediate Releaseâ opens with an investment banker hunkered over agency documents, in the midst of preliminary due diligence.
The banker proposes selling 400,000 shares to the public at $9 a share. Given Sterling Cooperâs existing 1.5 million outstanding shares, that would have valued the agency at $17.1 million â" or about $114.4 million in todayâs dollars.
Sterling Cooper eventually improved its position, winning a higher proposed price of $11 a share. That would have valued the agency at $20.9 million, or $139.8 million today.
By May 1968, when the episode is set, seven firms had held I.P.O.âs, according to Ad Age. Among them: Wells Rich Greene and Papert, Koenig, Lois.
Over all, 21 agencies went public between 1962 and 1973, according to a 2008 research paper by Andrew von Nordenflycht, a business professor at Simon Fraser University. Among them were major shops like Doyle Dane Bernbach and Ogilvy & Mather, the latter of which once counted Berkshire Hathaway among its shareholders.
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Behind the flood of offerings was the booming stock market of the 1960s, which prompted bankers to seek out ever more companies to pitch to investors. Services companies like ad agencies became hot commodities, playing off the allure of Madison Avenue and its mad ad men.
The trough wasnât restricted to the big names. As the unnamed banker notes, there was precedent for small advertising agencies going public. An article in The New York Times on Feb. 13, 1968 detailed the I.P.O. of Adams Dana Silverstein, then the tiniest firm in the industry to begin trading publicly.
âWe made our decision to go public â" a gutsy one â" six months after we started and our reason was that we wanted to build a damn good agency and staff,â D. W. Silverstein, the firmâs president, told The Times.
Yet the bubble eventually burst, violently. Of the 21 agencies that had held I.P.O.âs, two failed and six had gone private by 1978, according to Professor von Nordenflycht. Today, the advertising concerns that remain publicly traded are largely the giant conglomerates like Omnicom and WPP, which own scores of smaller imprints.
Why? Consider Sterling Cooper. News that Jaguar had left as a client prompted an apoplectic fit by junior partner Pete Campbell, and with good reason: Donâs summary firing of the car company took away a significant amount of revenue. It wasnât the first time the firm had suffered from a client departure, Lucky Strikeâs exit chief among them.
And as service businesses, ad agencies are at the mercy of client fees rolling in, a lumpy operating model that wins little favor among many investors. The same problem prompted investment banks like Lazard and Evercore Partners to add steady-revenue businesses like asset management for smoother earnings.
Adams Dana Silversteinâs very reason for going public proves the point. From the Times article:
The idea of going public came when the agency, which was founded in July, 1966, had just lost its first account. âWe were just sitting here,â said Bill Silverstein, âhaving just lost an account and had just staffed up. We didnât want to go backward. So we said, âWhy not go public?ââ
As Professor von Nordenflycht notes, the ad industry of the time wasnât sitting on particularly notable growth or profitability during the early 1960s.
And the firms taking these agencies public werenât always of the highest caliber. Name partner Bert Cooper sniffs that the banker pitching Sterling Cooper â" who was earlier shown furiously punching an adding machine â" conducted only 20 minutes of analysis.
His dismissive reply to the bankerâs preliminary estimate hinted of the army of drones seeking business: âI canât take this to the rest of partners, but I can take it to other underwriters.â
Adams Dana Silverstein was taken public by the Hancock Securities Corporation, was eventually expelled from the National Association of Securities Dealers in 1972, according to The Times. The bankâs president, Mortimer Tover, was barred from the industry as well and fined $5,000.
Not that any of this mattered anyway. By episodeâs end, DealBook had its second reason to pay close attention: Don struck a secret deal with his main rival, Ted Chaough, to merge their guppy-sized agencies and win business from Chevy.
Peter Eavis contributed reporting.