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Jefferies Posts $71.6 Million Profit in 4th Quarter

The Jefferies Group is ending its life as an independent firm on a pleasant note: with a solid quarterly profit.

The investment bank said on Tuesday that it earned about $71.6 million in profit for the fourth quarter, up 48 percent from the same time a year ago as its core businesses showed marked improvement.

It is the firm's last earnings report before Jefferies expects to complete its takeover by the Leucadia National Corporation, a conglomerate that patterned itself after Warren E. Buffett‘s Berkshire Hathaway. Under the terms of that deal, the Wall Street firm will become a subsidiary of the bigger company, but will remain essentially intact.

The firm's top managers are staying in place, although Richard B. Handler, Jefferies' chief executive, will assume that role for all of Leucadia.

“As we end 2012, a new era is on the horizon for Jefferies,” Mr. Handler said on a call with analysts. “We believe our imminent merger with Leucadia will result in an even stronger Jefferies, as well as making us more distinguished from our bank holding company competitors.”

The management team spent much of the call talking about how well the firm performed in the three months that ended Nov. 30. Excluding a number of onetime expenses, including costs and do nations to Hurricane Sandy relief efforts, Jefferies earned about $81 million. That amounts to 35 cents a share.

Analysts on average expected a quarterly profit of 34 cents a share, according to Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.

The firm's trading division reported a more than sixfold increase in revenue, to $242.1 million, with its mainstay of buying and selling fixed-income products doubling its revenue from the year-ago period.

Investment banking posted a smaller 8 percent increase, to $283 million, as raising equity and debt financing for clients more than covered a drop in deal advisory fees.

Jefferies' management team said on the call that being owned by Leucadia would present new opportunities, principally by giving the firm a much bigger balance sheet to extend its banking and trading businesses. The deep pockets of its new owner, executives said, would help bolster the firm at a time when bigger rivals were facing tougher regulatory pressure that could limit their profitability.

And the environment for Jefferies is improving as well. Mr. Handler cited a calming of the European debt crisis, an emerging recovery in the United States economy and companies having big cash piles to invest as positive factors for growth.



How Local Tax Rates Affect High-Income Professionals

Jeremy Lin of the Houston Rockets returned on Monday night to Madison Square Garden, which used to be his home court in the days of Linsanity not so long ago. Mr. Lin thrived on the energy of the New York crowd, but one thing he probably doesn't miss is the taxes.

Neither Texas nor Houston has an income tax, saving him about a million dollars a year.

The prospect of higher marginal tax rates in states like New York and California raises concerns about the impact of taxes on the behavior of high-income individuals. Will Wall Street executives and fund managers flee to low-tax jurisdictions like Florida and Texas?

Some argue that higher state and local taxes are self-defeating, encouraging the rich to move to cheaper locales, work less or restructure investments to avoid tax. Others point out that higher taxes pay for public goods like better schools and public parks, making some locations more attractive places to live and work despite (or because of) the higher taxes.

How sensitive are high-income individuals to marginal tax rates? One challenge in the research is finding good data on the salaries and the behavioral responses of the rich. People tend to hold salary information close to the vest.

But there is one group of highly paid professionals whose salaries and relocation behavior are public: professional athletes. Two new papers in the Journal of Sports Economics use variation in state tax rates to test how sensitive these athletes' salaries are to state and local taxes.

One paper, by the economists James Alm, Bill Kaempfer and Edward Batte Sennoga, investigates whether differences in state and local individual income taxes in major league baseball cities affects free-agent player salaries. It does.

The extensive data on baseball player performance helps the econometric effort here: the study's model estimates what salary a free agent ought to be able to get on the open market, and then looks to see how much the variation in state and local taxes accounts for the variation from this estimate. As the authors point out, while the past statistical performance of baseball players isn't a perfect proxy for future performance, it is a pretty good predictor of future salary, which is what matters for the study.

The authors' basic specification finds that each percentage point of an income tax raises free-agent salaries by $21,000 to $24,000. This means that low-tax locales like Florida and Texas have a “home field advantage” in the free-agent market.

In other words, state and local taxes are capitalized into salaries, with teams in high-tax jurisdictions forced to offer higher pretax salaries. Free agents indeed negotiate with an eye toward after-tax income. At least in baseball, the presence of higher local taxes doesn't typically affect the quality of teams, as owners adjust the salary offers to account for tax. Those taxes do, however, put the owners of teams in high-tax jurisdictions at a competitive disadvantage in the sense that they must pay more to get comparable free agents.

In the N.B.A., the luxury tax acts as a more effective constraint on player salaries than it does in Major League Baseball. The second paper, by Nolan Kopkin, a Ph.D. student at Cornell University, looks at the effect that variation in state and local income tax rates have on the labor migration decisions of N.B.A. free agents. The study finds that an increase in the marginal income tax rate leads to a decrease in the average skill of the N.B.A. free agents that migrate to that team. Unlike in baseball, basketball teams in high-tax jurisdictions actually end up w ith a worse free-agent talent pool, all else equal.

These papers confirm the broader point that the economic incidence of a tax may not fall on the nominal taxpayer. In baseball, the players do not shoulder the burden of the tax. The economic burden may fall on the owners themselves, in the form of lower profits, or perhaps the fans in the form of higher ticket prices. While the players technically remit the tax, they are no worse off on an after-tax basis.

In basketball, by contrast, taxes aren't fully capitalized into salaries. On the margin, the better players migrate to lower-tax jurisdictions. In a sense, the fans pay an implicit tax in the form of teams that perform worse.

Of course, because of the unique nature of the data set, the broader policy implications of these papers are somewhat limited. For most employers outside professional sports, there is no luxury tax or salary cap. Most employers are probably more like a baseball team, with its relatively ineffective luxury tax, than an N.B.A. team. As state and local marginal tax rates rise, we can expect higher salaries to partially offset the higher taxes.

On the other hand, behavioral responses to tax are constrained by frictions, like the cost of moving and the limited availability of comparable job opportunities. It's easier for Mr. Lin to move to Houston than it is for a star trader or investment banker.

These papers do serve as a useful reminder that if the goal is to remedy income inequality, state and local taxes are a weak policy instrument. To the extent that tax policy is used to achieve redistribution, redistribution should take place at the federal level. (Few people will give up citizenship to avoid taxes.) State and local taxes should be used to pay for public goods like infrastructure, parks, law enforcement and schools.

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For further reading on the impact of state and local tax rates on player salaries, see James Alm, William Kaempfer, and Edward Batte Sennoga, Baseball Salaries and Income Taxes: The ‘Home Field Advantage' of Income Taxes on Free Agent Salaries, and Nolan Kopkin, Tax Avoidance: How Income Tax Rates Affect the Labor Migration Decisions of NBA Free Agents, both in volume 13 of the Journal of Sports Economics (2012).

Victor Fleischer is a professor at the University of Colorado Law School, where he teaches partnership tax, tax policy and deals. Twitter: @vicfleischer



Already Criticized, Freeport Deals Raise Questions of Conflicts

The brouhaha over Freeport-McMoran Copper and Gold's recent acquisitions illustrates the sometimes unsatisfying way that corporate law deals with conflicts of interest.

Freeport's $9 billion deal to buy McMoran Exploration and Plains Exploration and Production has been greeted with almost universal derision. On a conference call after the announcement, Evy Hambro, the joint chief investment officer of the natural resources equity team at BlackRock, criticized the company.

Congratulations on making one of the worst teleconferences I've ever heard to justify a deal. Before I ask my question, would it be possible to find out if anybody on the call from your side is not conflicted in answering the question I want to ask?

The issue raised by Mr. Hambro is very real.

Freeport had previously spun off McMoran Exploration in 1994 but still held a 16.2 percent stake and has tight ties with the company. Six of McMoran Exploration's 11 directors serve on the board of Freeport. The chairman of Freeport is James Moffett, the chief executive and chairman of McMoran Exploration.

The board will be reward handsomely in the transaction. Freeport is paying a premium of 74 percent, and an estimated $130 million is flowing into the hands of those directors who sat on both boards. Not only that, but James Flores, the chief executive of Plains, is also a director of McMoran Exploration, and he is personally netting an estimated $12 million from the deal.

The conflicts would be problematic enoug h. But in an age where Wall Street hates conglomerates, investors have struggled to understand the strategic reasoning for the deal. Freeport is a mining company and McMoran Exploration and Plains Exploration are oil and gas companies. Investors are concerned that the acquisitions are adding little in the way of cost savings or synergies to Freeport.

As I wrote in an earlier article, Freeport has structured these acquisitions mostly in cash and is issuing less than 20 percent of its outstanding shares. Accordingly, no vote by Freeport shareholders is required under the rules of the New York Stock Exchange, where Freeport is listed.

Still, some Freeport shareholders claim tha t the conflicts are too great to justify this deal. Unfortunately, the investors are without a vote and unlikely to find solace in court. It's just the way that way the law in Delaware, the state where Freeport is incorporated, deals with these types of conflicts.

Freeport, of course, knew of these conflicts and so took the common route to address them. The company's board created an independent committee of directors with its own independent advisers. McMoran Exploration did the same. The idea is to purge the conflict by having those who are untainted by it make the decision.

Those efforts are driven by Delaware law.

Usually, transactions like this one â€" where the directors sat on both sides â€" could be cancelled by shareholders. As fiduciaries, courts held that directors should not be allowed to engage in conduct on behalf of the corporation that benefits themselves.

More recently, the law has changed and these conflicted transactions are permit ted if they are signed off by an independent force. Delaware law states that when there is a conflict, the transaction is not void solely because there were directors on both sides of it, if certain events take place. One, the transaction is approved by the disinterested directors after disclosure of the material facts. Two, the deal is approved by the shareholders after similar disclosure. Or three, the company can prove in a court of law that the transaction is fair.

Freeport-McMoran opted for Door No. 1. And the company's board elected to have the transaction disclosed and approved by the disinterested directors.

This does not end the matter. The question now is whether Freeport's independent directors had all of the material information before them and were not unduly influenced by the conflicted directors and executives.

If that is the case, then the Delaware courts will not interfere with the transaction. This means that in the pending litigation in Delaware challenging this acquisition, the plaintiffs lawyers will be hunting for some defect in the process.

Perhaps the most interesting statement of the conference call was made by Richard C. Adkerson, the chief executive and president of Freeport, who stated that once the board of Freeport decided on the strategy it then created a special committee of directors to consider the issue.

Plaintiffs lawyers will be asking if this unduly steered the process toward an acquisition. They will also be asking whether the independent directors were given all the information they needed and whether the investment banks were conflicted.

But make no mistake, even if a defect found, the deal will not necessarily be terminated. Instead, the court would still look to see whether the acquisition was fair.

We would need some rather bad facts for a Delaware court to find this acquisition unfair. Even then, the Delaware courts are loath to halt a transaction. Instead, monetary damages are more likely, something that would be paid in a settlement. In short, it would be an extraordinary act for the Delaware courts to actually step in and do something here, and even then it is unlikely to stop the transaction.

But it all raises the question: Do we need to take a harder look at these conflicts issues?

In Delaware, the test for director independence has been stated as whether “a director is, for any substantial reason, incapable of making a decision with only the best interests of the corporation in mind.” Obviously, financial issues come into play, but it is unlikely that this will be an issue in the Freeport deal. That leaves softer ties like social and friendship. In other words, was this deal approved because of the independent directors wanted to accede to the will of t he Freeport executives, who just happened to be conflicted?

This is a big leap to take. And frankly, even if it comes out that the Freeport independent directors are close with the conflicted Freeport executives and directors, it is not likely to matter under Delaware law. Common social ties and the natural pressure that directors have to want to get along are generally not enough to destroy independence. This is the law, if for no other reason than most directors would be disqualified from being independent because boards are supposed to be collegial places.

Thus, assuming that the lawyers here were able to do their jobs, Freeport shareholders are unlikely to get far challenging this deal on conflict grounds. It's an unsatisfying answer. I know.



Jefferies\'s Exceptionalism

Full-year earnings from Jefferies put Wall Street's dilemma in a nutshell.

The wannabe bulge-bracket investment bank posted record revenue of almost $3 billion for its fiscal year to Nov. 30. But the top line didn't translate into bumper profits: the firm's $282 million of net income equates to a paltry 8.2 percent return on equity. Its chief executive, Richard Handler, like bosses of larger rivals, wants to improve on that. He has a couple of tricks up his sleeve â€" but others don't.

For starters, Mr. Handler has been enlarging Jefferies for almost four years. First, he took advantage of post-crisis pain at giant financial firms to lure away bankers and traders. Then last year he bought commodities and futures brokerage firm Prudential Bache. Mr. Handler now expects the extra costs from these forays to drop, which should boost margins â€" though he has not provided any specific numbers.

And then just last month Jefferies agreed to be bought by Leucadia, an investment firm that already owns 28 percent of the investment bank. It's essentially a reverse takeover, as Handler will lead the combined group. And it will come with an immediate benefit to the Wall Street firm's earnings: Leucadia has $1.4 billion of deferred tax assets which can be used to reduce the slice of future earnings that will be owed to Uncle Sam. For example, if Jefferies' 2012 tax rate fell to 20 percent from 34.3 percent, that would add $70 million to the firm's net income. On its 2012 numbers, a boost of that size would have nudged the return on equity above 10 percent, a rough proxy for the typical investment bank's overall cost of capital.

Mr. Handler's rivals don't have that advantage, and most big bank C.E.O.s are under pressure to shrink, if anything, rather than grow. To boost their companies' returns to more respectable levels in the short term, they need either an upturn in business â€" something that few on Wall Street expect any time soo n â€" or big cuts in compensation or other costs.

For bank bosses reporting their 2012 numbers in January, it won't be a comfortable start to the new year.

Antony Currie is an associate editor at Reuters Breakingviews. For more independent commentary and analysis, visit breakingviews.com.



The Impact of the Latest Insider Trading Convictions

The convictions of Anthony Chiasson and Todd Newman in a lucrative insider trading case may well send a message to Mathew Martoma, the former SAC Capital portfolio manager, about the risks he runs if he fights similar charges filed against him.

The potential sentences of more than 10 years in prison that the two defendants face puts even more pressure on Mr. Martoma to cooperate in the government's apparent quest to get his former boss, Steven A. Cohen, the founder of SAC. (Mr. Cohen has not been accused of wrongdoing, and his spokesman has said that Mr. Cohen has acted appropriately.)

The case against Mr. Chiasson and Mr. Newman was a classic insider trading prosecution built on the testimony of analysts at their hedge funds who had confessed to receiving confidential information about Dell and Nvidia a nd then passing it on. The government did not have recordings of the defendants discussing the companies, the type of evidence that proved so devastating in other recent cases.

The cooperators, Spyridon Adondakis and Jesse Tortora, testified that they gave the information to their bosses, Mr. Chiasson and Mr. Newman, who understood that it was confidential and reaped a total of more than $70 million in profits.

The defense strategy was simple: Accuse the cooperators of lying about their bosses by making deals to save their own skins. Mr. Adondakis was described by the defense as an “easy, practiced liar,” while Mr. Tortora was assailed as someone who “cannot and should not be trusted.”

The defendants called just two witnesses and rested their defense case after just a few minutes. Because the case rode on the credibility of the cooperators, Mr. Chiasson and Mr. Newman argued they were not aware that their underlings were passing on inside inform ation.

In addition to the securities fraud charges, the jury convicted the two defendants of conspiracy based on the wider circle of tippers and recipients who passed around confidential information. Although the two men did not deal with each other directly, the government claimed that they were part of a larger agreement to trade on inside information.

The conspiracy conviction may prove especially devastating to Mr. Newman. By far, the largest trade was made by Mr. Chiasson's firm in Dell right before a negative earnings announcement in August 2008 that netted $53 million in profits. Because the jury found they were members of the same conspiracy, Mr. Chiasson's gains are attributable to Mr. Newman, even if he was unaware of the trading.

The federal sentencing guidelines base much of the recommended sentence on the amount of the defendants' gains or losses avoided from the insider trading. Under the guidelines, Mr. Chiasson and Mr. Newman face a term of over 10 years in federal prison based on the benefits reaped from the transactions.

Another problem the defendants face is that Judge Richard J. Sullivan of the Federal District Court in Manhattan will decide their sentences. He has generally followed the recommended sentence in other cases, meting out substantial prison terms for insider trading.

For example, he sentenced Zvi Goffer to 10 years for his role in organizing a group of insider traders with ties to Galleon Group for trading that resulted in profits of as much as $20 million. At the sentencing hearing, Judge Sullivan noted that Mr. Goffer fought the charges by going to trial and only accepted responsibility after his conviction.

The judge told Mr. Goffer, “You decided to gamble with your future, and you lost.” That does not bode well for Mr. Chiasson and Mr. Newman, who have maintained their innocence and are unlikely to express contrition.

In 2010, Judge Sullivan imposed a six-year prison term on Joseph Contorinis, a former Jefferies Group fund manager, after his conviction for receiving tips in a case that also relied on the testimony of a cooperating witness. The profits were $7 million, about 10 percent of what Mr. Chiasson and Mr. Newman were accused of making on their trades.

It would not be a surprise for Judge Sullivan to hand down significant sentences near the 11 years Raj Rajaratnam received. His trading produ ced profits of approximately $63 million, similar to those realized by Mr. Chiasson and Mr. Newman, so the government is likely to argue that case may serve as a guidepost for determining their punishment.

The defendants can be expected to appeal their convictions. Two likely challenges will be to the sufficiency of the evidence of the conspiracy and to limitations the court placed on expert testimony about the trading at their hedge funds to show that the transactions were unlikely to have been based on inside information.

One ray of hope for them is the recent decision of the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit allowing Rajat Gupta, convicted of tipping Mr. Rajaratnam, to remain free on bail while his case is on appeal.

Although the issues are different, Mr. Chiasson and Mr. Newman can point to that decision as a basis to allow them to avoid having to report to prison until their appeals are decided, which probably won't happen until 20 14.

Mr. Martoma was charged with trading on inside information about a clinical drug trial that the government claims produced profits and losses avoided for SAC of more than $270 million.

The charges depend almost entirely on the testimony of Dr. Sidney Gilman, a prominent neurologist who reached a nonprosecution agreement with prosecutors in exchange for his cooperation.

As in the case of Mr. Chiasson and Mr. Newman, the defense in Mr. Martoma's case will assail Dr. Gilman's credibility based on the favorable deal he received. But undermining his testimony may be more difficult because he did not trade on the information and is not a Wall Street insider who regularly dealt in financial information.

Prosecutors may be able to present Dr. Gilman as someone who got “played” by a sophisticated hedge fund trader. If a jury was willing to convict based on the testimony of witnesses like Mr. Adondakis and Mr. Tortora, there is a reasonably good chanc e Dr. Gilman's testimony will be sufficiently believable to support a conviction of Mr. Martoma.

A lawyer for Mr. Martoma has said that he expects his client to be exonerated.

The recommended sentence he would face if convicted starts at about 15 years, and even a sympathetic judge is likely to be swayed by the outsize benefits produced by the trading in deciding the punishment.

Whether Mr. Martoma will try to make a deal remains to be seen, and it is unclear what information he might provide about Mr. Cohen that would entice prosecutors into a favorable plea bargain. The convictions of Mr. Chiasson and Mr. Newman are unlikely to bolster Mr. Martoma's confidence that he can beat the charges he is facing.



An American-Made Business Model Has Less Success Overseas

For years, the titans of finance have held out the promise that they could export their business model overseas and mint billions in the process. Yet, there are increasing signs that global deal-making was always a myth.

If you've been anywhere near a Wall Street conference in the last five years, you know the drill. Deal makers bemoan the United States as a mature and overregulated economy. They talk about heading abroad, as emerging market economies leave us far behind. To listen to them, one might think the rest of the world was a paradise out of “Atlas Shrugged,” where capital flows and where private equity, investment banks and other investors can freely seek opportunities.

So what country is No. 1 in initial public offerings so far this year? Yes, it is the United States, according to Renai ssance Capital, with 75 I.P.O.'s raising $39 billion in total. Compare this activity with China, where 41 I.P.O.'s raised just $8.1 billion.

And in mergers and acquisitions? Again, it is the United States, with 53 percent of the worldwide deal volume, up from 51 percent from last year, according to Dealogic. For investment banks, this means that the United States has a 46 percent share of the $63 billion in worldwide investment banking revenue, up from 34.6 percent in 2009.

With the slowdown in once-hot emerging markets, the tide is going out, baring all of the problems and issues associated with global deal-making.

China is a prime example. Huge amounts of foreign and state investment produced an economic miracle. And in that time, wealth was there to be had.

But let's be clear about where that wealth came from. In the United States, deal makers make money primarily by buying underperforming assets, adding some financial wizardry and riding any impr ovements in the stock market. Sometimes, they get lucky by making a quick profit, but often private equity works to squeeze out inefficiencies and make operating improvements in companies and then takes them public a few years later.

In China, what increasingly appears to have been a stock market and asset bubble spurred by hundreds of billions in direct investment has created some spectacular early profits for deal makers. The private equity firm Carlyle Group, for example, has made an estimated $4.4 billion on an investment in China Pacific Insurance, which it took public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

But now, with the Chinese I.P.O. market at a virtual standstill and the Shanghai market down more than 30 percent from its high last year, that avenue to riches is over. People are starting to say that investme nt in China resembles a “No Exit” sign.

Deal makers are left with a back-to-basics approach that looks to make money from companies through economic growth or improving their performance. Yet most of these investments are made with state actors and minority positions, meaning that there may be little opportunity to actually do anything more than sit and wait and hope. And you know what they say about hope as a strategy.

It appears that deal makers are starting to realize the problem. Foreign direct investment in China was down 3.67 percent from last year to $9.6 billion, and it is likely to remain on a downward trend.

And China has been among the friendliest places for deal makers. Other emerging markets have been less accommodating. Take India, which has been criticized for excessive regulation, high taxes and ownership prohibitions. David Bonderman, the head of the private equity giant TPG Capital, recently said that “we stay away from places that have impossible governments and impossible tax regimes, which means sayonara to India.” The comment about India highlights another problem with foreign deal-making: it's foreign. Sometimes, the political winds change and local governments that initially welcomed investment change their minds. South Korea, for example, invited foreign capital to invest in its battered financial sector after the Asian currency crisis. But when Lone Star Investments was about to reap billions in profits on an investment in Korea Exchange Bank, a legal battle almost a decade long erupted as Korean government officials accused the fund of vulture investing.

And the political problems are sometimes not directed at foreign investors. South Africa, for example, is undergoing the kind of political turmoil that can s top all foreign investment in its tracks over treatment of its workers and continuing income inequality. Things are not much better in the more mature economies.

Europe is in the economic doldrums, and its governments are increasingly protectionist of both jobs and industry. France, for example, recently threatened to nationalize a factory owned by ArcelorMittal, which sought to shut down two furnaces. The national minister said the company was “not welcome.” It's hard to see a deal maker profiting from buying an inefficient enterprise that it can't clean up without risking national censure.

Buying at a low is the lifeblood of any investment strategy - but this assumes that there will be an uptick, and on the Continent, that is uncertain given the state of Greece and the other indebted economies in Southern Europe.

This is all a far cry from the oratory vision-making at conferences. Now that the global gold rush has ended, the belief that the American way of doing deals is portable is being upended.

We are left with a fragmented world where capital moves not so freely, the problems of politics and regulation are more prominent and investing in emerging markets becomes what it always has been: the province of more specialized investors who are in tune with the political and regulatory requirements. Regardless, the easy riches that many thought these countries would bring are now far out of sight.

And the winner in all of this is likely to be the much-maligned United States, where the economic conditions and regulatory environment first gave birth to these deal makers.

This is not to say that there will still not be global deal-making or that American multinationals will not continue to expand abroad. Of course, there will still be profits in deals oversea s. But the vision that deal-making will instantly and seamlessly go global is increasingly exposed as one that was more a fairy tale than reality.



Kenneth Chenault\'s Crisis Years

It is sure to come up: What did Kenneth I. Chenault do during the bailouts?

The White House is said to be considering Mr. Chenault, the chief executive of American Express, for a post in President Obama's cabinet, according to Bloomberg News. The article mentions that the executive could be in the running for the Treasury Secretary and Commerce Secretary.

If an offer from the White House materializes and Mr. Chenault accepts it, the actions of American Express during the 2008 financial crisis will no doubt be closely examined.

So how might Mr. Chenault's actions be assessed? Pretty favorably, actually.

As with many other banks, the government took an equity stake in American Express under the Troubled Assets Relief Program. While it received $3.4 billion under the program in January 2009, the company paid the money back six months later.

American Express participated in other types of bailouts, but, again, its participation was small compared to others. In one particularly advantageous program, the government guaranteed the bonds that financial companies issued. American Express tapped the program briefly at the end of 2008, raising $5.9 billion. That's nothing compared to General Electric's financial arm, which issued over $50 billion of the guaranteed debt, and used the program for many months.

Then there was the alphabet soup of bailouts provided by the Federal Reserve. American Express participated in two of these. Under one of the programs, the Federal Reserve set up a special fund to buy short-term corporate debt called commercial paper. It bought $4.5 billion of American Express, far less than the $16 billion sold by General Electric's financial arm.

American Express's name also pops up on a Fed facility that gave loans to investors to buy bonds backed by things like loan repayments. The facility financed the purchase of $1.1 billion of bonds backed by American Express credit card loans. Almos t nothing in the scheme of things.

But something happened in the heat of the crisis that might make Mr. Chenault vulnerable. In the midst of the 2008 panic, the Fed allowed American Express to become a bank holding company, a status that allowed the credit card lender to fully participate in government bailouts.

Before the shift, American Express was part of the shadow banking system, the name given to financial companies that weren't regulated like banks. The Fed cited “exigent and unusual circumstances” in approving American Express's transition.

One of American Express's weak spots going into the crisis was that it was overly dependent on potentially skittish short-term market borrowings to fund its business. When American Express became a bank holding company, Mr. Chenault acknowledged the need to change, saying, “We will continue to build a larger deposit base to broaden our funding sources.” Deposits are considered less flighty than short-term market borrowing.

American Express appears to have delivered on that. It has $37 billion of customer deposits today, versus $12 billion in 2008.

His detractors may find fodder for criticism elsewhere, like his compensation. In 2009, 2010 and 2011 combined he made a total of $57 million.



Pogue\'s 12 Days of Gadgets: The Leash Camera Strap

The first Noël, the angels did sing - but that was a long time ago. Today, the angels might note instead that it's Day 9 of Pogue's 12 Days of sub-$100 Gadgets for the holidays.

Kickstarter.com, as almost everyone knows by now, is a Web site where inventors present their brainstorms to the public, in hopes of raising enough money to move forward with production. Sometimes truly great new products are born. Sometimes they flop.

The Leash is in the first category. It's exactly the sort of thing Kickstarter projects are so good at: updating or revisiting some mundane object in our lives that hasn't been redesigned since 1723.

In this case, it's the camera strap.

An single-lens reflex takes beautiful photos, but you pay the price in weight, bulk and awkwardness. The Leash ($40) is designed to help.

The first thing it does is spare you the nightmare of attaching a camera strap - usually a 20-minute procedure involving crochet needles and reading glasses. Instead, you fasten the Leash's tiny black plastic anchors to your camera's camera-strap loops.

Then there's the nylon strap itself, which hooks onto these anchors quickly and simply and holds 200 pounds. It starts out as a regular neck strap, but it can expand to twice its original length when you want to use it as a sling strap, where the camera hangs at your hip instead of your sternum.

In another configuration, you can clip an anchor to your belt, turning the Leash into a handy improvised tripod. (You pull it tight against the strap; the tension helps keep it steady.)

The company also sells the Cuff, a wrist strap for your S.L.R., which is something you probably never had before. It attaches to the same anchors you've already put on your camera.

And you know the best part? This is a fresh Kickstarter invention. If there are S.L.R. owners among your loved ones, you can be pretty sure they don't already have one of these.



The Instagram Muddle

Our story so far: Instagram, the filter-and-share photo app that was recently bought by Facebook for $1 billion, changed its privacy policy on Monday. The new one says:

“You agree that a business or other entity may pay us to display your username, likeness, photos (along with any associated metadata), and/or actions you take, in connection with paid or sponsored content or promotions, without any compensation to you.”

Wow. So you do beautiful, creative photography - and Instagram gets to sell it to advertisers without a nickel to you.

The Web went nuts. Instructions for canceling your Instagram account burned up the Internet. Indignation and outrage we re everywhere.

I had a hunch nobody at Instagram was really that stupid. This sort of thing happens every few months: someone reads the fine print of Google's terms of services, or Apple's, or Microsoft's, and discovers what seems to be an outrageous “we own you” statement buried in the legalese. Google, or Microsoft, or Apple, apologizes, saying, “That's not what we meant - that's just what our lawyer put in there, and we'll change it.” And life goes on.

And sure enough: On Tuesday, Instagram's co-founder Kevin Systrom responded to the outrage with a blog post that says, in essence, “that's not what we meant.”

“It was interpreted by many that we were going to sell your photos to others without any compensation,” he wrote. “This is not true and it is our mistake that this language is confusing. To be clear: it is not our intention to sell your photos. We are working on updated language in the terms to make sure this is clear.”

So what did he mean? “We want to create meaningful ways to help you discover new and interesting accounts and content while building a self-sustaining business at the same time.”

I have no idea what that means, either. I've read the post six times, and nothing he says translates into English.
In any case, it's clear that Instagram is owning up to its “misinterpreted” language, and vows to change it before the policy takes effect next month.

Well, fine. But honestly - how could anyone, in this age of hyper-privacy-awareness, think that he could get away with such an inflammatory choice of words? Who could possibly have missed the probability of “misinterpretation”? What kind of reaction did he expect?

Maybe once you've got $1 billion in your bank account, y ou lose just a little touch with reality.



Cerberus to Sell Gunmaker Amid Public Pressure

CERBERUS TO SELL STAKE IN GUNMAKER  |  The private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management said on Tuesday that it would immediately sell its controlling stake in the Freedom Group, the company that makes the rifle that was used to kill 20 schoolchildren in Newtown, Conn., on Friday. “It is apparent that the Sandy Hook tragedy was a watershed event that has raised the national debate on gun control to an unprecedented level,” Cerberus said in a statement.

The move follows pressure from the California State Teachers' Retirement System, which said on Monday that it was reviewing its investment in Cerberus's funds. Cerberus said on Tuesday that the decision to sell its stake “allows us to meet our obligations to the investors whose interests we are entrusted to protect without being drawn into the national debate that is more properly pursued by those with the formal charter and public responsibility to do so.” Cerberus plans to retain a financial adviser to sell its stake and then return the capital to investors.

A number of big gun companies are backed by Wall Street firms, which have a fiduciary duty to maximize investor returns, Andrew Ross Sorkin wrote in the DealBook column before Cerberus's announcement. “Perhaps it should not be a surprise, but Wall Street will hardly take a leadership position in the conversation about gun control.” By selling its stake in Freedom, Cerberus may be able to sidestep the gun control debate and avoid unw anted publicity.

Eliot Spitzer, the former governor of New York and the former New York State attorney general, also put pressure on Cerberus on Monday. “Every student at a university should ask the university if it is invested in Cerberus,” Mr. Spitzer wrote in Slate. “Every member of a union should ask their pension-fund managers if they are invested. Information is the key first step. From there, action will quickly follow.”

MORGAN STANLEY FINED OVER FACEBOOK I.P.O.  |  Morgan Stanley is paying a $5 million fine for its role in Facebook's market debut, in the first major regulatory action related to the social network's I.P.O. The firm was accused by Massachusetts's top financial authority of improperly influencing the offering .

The regulator's claims center on a senior Morgan Stanley banker, Michael Grimes, who isn't named in the consent order, DealBook's Susanne Craig and Ben Protess report. William F. Galvin, the secretary of the commonwealth of Massachusetts, asserts that the senior banker coached Facebook on how to share information with stock analysts, potentially violating the regulatory settlement on stock research that Wall Street firms signed in 2003. Mr. Galvin says those actions hurt ordinary investors who didn't have access to the same research. “The broader message here is, we are going to use any means possible to enforce the strict code in place about giving out information,” Mr. Galvin told DealBook.

The Morgan Stanley banker was portrayed by Mr. Galvin was being personally involved in crucial elements of Facebook's communication with inves tors. When a Facebook executive called analysts after the company filed an amended prospectus that detailed a slowdown in revenue, “Morgan Stanley's senior investment banker did everything but make the phone calls himself,” the regulator said. “He not only rehearsed with Facebook's treasurer who placed the calls to the research analysts, but he also drafted the majority of the script Facebook's treasurer utilized.” Morgan Stanley neither admitted nor denied the accusations, and Mr. Grimes has not personally been accused of wrongdoing.

2 MORE CONVICTIONS IN INSIDER TRADING CRACKDOWN  |  Two former hedge fund managers, Anthony Chiasson, a co-founder of Level Global Investors, and Todd Newman, a former portfolio manager at Diamondback Capital Management, were found guilty on Monday of fraud and conspiracy, the latest convictions in the government's campaign to root out insider trading. Juries in Federal District Court in Manhattan have now convicted all 11 insider-trading defendants who have taken their cases to trial since 2009. Of the 72 people charged with insider trading crimes, the United States attorney's office in Manhattan has secured 71 guilty pleas or convictions.

Preet Bharara, the United States attorney in Manhattan, said Mr. Newman and Mr. Chiasson “join the ranks of high-level investment fund managers who are being made to answer for their extraordinarily bad risk-reward analysis about what is right and what is wrong.” The firms where they worked were founded by former employees of SAC Capital Advisors, the hedge fund whose boss, Steven A. Cohen, has become a focus of the government's inquiry. The two defendants sat stone-faced as the jury foreman announced the guilty verdict on Monday. Their sentenci ng is set for April 19.

FOR BANKS, A SHIELD FROM HOMEOWNER LAWSUITS  |  DealBook's Peter Eavis writes: “As regulators complete new mortgage rules, banks are about to get a significant advantage: protection against homeowner lawsuits. The rules are meant to help bolster the housing market. By shielding banks from potential litigation, policy makers contend that the industry will have a powerful incentive to make higher quality home loans.” But the fear is that borrowers are losing an important safeguard. “A lot of bad things are done in the name of expanding access to credit, as we found out,” said Sheila C. Bair, former chairwoman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and now a senior adviser to the Pew Charitable Trusts.

ON THE AGENDA  |  A Senate Banking subcommittee holds a hearing on computerized trading at 9:30 a.m., asking, “What should the rules of the road be?” The Jefferies Group reports earnings before the market opens, and Oracle announces results this evening. John Mack, Morgan Stanley's former leader, is on CNBC at 8 a.m. Jeffrey Gundlach of Doubleline Capital is on Bloomberg TV at 11 a.m. The billionaire financier Kenneth Langone is on CNBC at at 4:30 p.m.

WAL-MART'S AGGRESSIVE BRIBERY IN MEXICO  |  Wal-Mart shut down an internal investigation into bribery at its Mexican subsidiary, but The New York Times “has now picked up where Wal-Mart's internal investigation was cu t off.” In the latest installment in a series, The Times “reveals that Wal-Mart de Mexico was not the reluctant victim of a corrupt culture that insisted on bribes as the cost of doing business. Nor did it pay bribes merely to speed up routine approvals. Rather, Wal-Mart de Mexico was an aggressive and creative corrupter, offering large payoffs to get what the law otherwise prohibited. It used bribes to subvert democratic governance - public votes, open debates, transparent procedures. It used bribes to circumvent regulatory safeguards that protect Mexican citizens from unsafe construction. It used bribes to outflank rivals.”

Mergers & Acquisitions '

Nielsen to Buy Arbitron for $1.26 Billion  |  Nielsen Holdings has reached a deal to acquire Arbitron, the radio ratings company, for $1.26 billion.
DealBook '

G.E. Said to Be Close to Buying Avio for $4 Billion  |  G.E.'s deal to buy the Italian aerospace company Avio from its owner, the British private equity firm Cinven, for $4 billion is expected to come together this week.
DealBook '

American Railcar Offers to Buy Rival for $20 a Share  |  American Railcar Industries, which is controlled by Carl C. Icahn, mad e an offer that valued its rival Greenbrier at about $543 million, Reuters reports.
REUTERS

A.I.G. Raises $6.45 Billion From Sale of A.I.A. Stake  |  A.I.G. priced shares in the offering in the top half of its expected range, Bloomberg News reports.
BLOOMBERG NEWS

Russian Mining Executive Receives $100 Million Payout  |  Vladimir Strzhalkovsky, a mining executive and former K.G.B. agent, received $100 million for stepping down as chief executive of the Norilsk Nickel mining company, the largest golden para chute payout in Russian history, The New York Times reports.
NEW YORK TIMES

U.P.S. Said to Offer More Concessions for TNT Deal  | 
REUTERS

Slim's Troubled Bets on European Telecoms  | 
BLOOMBERG NEWS

Joh. A. Benckiser to Buy Caribou Coffee for $340 Million  |  Benckiser agreed on Monday to buy the Caribou Coffee Company for about $340 million, only five months ago after announcing a nearly $1 billion deal for Peet's Coffee & Tea.
DealBook '

Still No Decision on Deal for Knight Capital  |  The board of the Knight Capital Group “ended a day-long meeting Monday without a decision on the company's future, amid expectations that a bidding war between the brokerage's two suitors could still escalate, according to people involved in the talks,” The Wall Street Journal reports.
WALL STREET JOURNAL

INVESTMENT BANKING '

Pressure Mounts on Deutsche Bank's Co-C.E.O.  |  The Wall Street Journal reports that Jürgen Fitschen, a co-chief executive of Deutsche Bank, “already the subject of a German tax-fraud probe, has come under further pressure after political leaders accused him of trying to influence the investigation by calling a senior German politician to protest a police raid on the bank's headquarters last week.”
WALL STREET JOURNAL

Treasury Said to Aim to Sell Bulk of TARP Holdings in 2013  | 
WALL STREET JOURNAL

Credit Suisse Said to Be Reducing Investment Bank in Dubai  |  Credit Suisse is cutting positions in Dubai and shifting the regional headquarters of its investment bank to Qatar, Bloomberg News reports, citing an unidentified person familiar with the matter.
BLOOMBERG NEWS

Whalen, Outspoken Bank Analyst, Takes a New Role  |  Christopher Whalen, most recently of Tangent Capital Partners, is set to lead the investment banking business of Carrington Investment Services.
NEWS RELEASE

PRIVATE EQUITY '

Private Equity Firms to Seek Dismissal of Bid-Rigging Lawsuit  |  Bain Capital, Goldman Sachs, the Blackstone Group, the Carlyle Group and others are scheduled to “defend what they call legitimate private-equity practices against investor claims that buyout firms and their bankers colluded to rig bids on takeovers,” Bloomberg News reports.
BLOOMBERG NEWS

Investment Firms Buy Delinquent Mortgages at a Discou nt  |  Investors including Selene Investment Partners and a firm backed by the Blackstone Group bought delinquent home loans being sold by the Federal Housing Administration, paying cents on the dollar, Bloomberg News reports.
BLOOMBERG NEWS

HEDGE FUNDS '

Elliott Bids $2.3 Billion for Compuware  |  On Monday, the hedge fund offered to buy Compuware, a business software maker, for about $2.3 billion, repeating a tactic that prompted the sale of Novell in late 2010.
DealBook '

Vitro Looks to Recover $1.59 Billion From Hedge Funds  |  Reuters reports: “Mexican glass maker Vitro said on Monday it had begun a legal process to recover up to $1.59 billion in damages from hedge funds who sued the company in Mexico but lost on appeal.”
REUTERS

I.P.O./OFFERINGS '

How Instagram Plans to Make Money  |  An updated version of Instagram's privacy policy and terms of service offers clues as to how Facebook will use the photo-sharing company to deploy advertisements, the Bits blog writes.
NEW YORK TIMES BITS

I.P.O. Is an Option for Maker of Greek Yogurt  |  Reuters reports: “Chobani Inc, the private firm behind the top-selling Greek-style yogurt in the United States, does not want to sell itself to a large company, but it has not ruled out an eventual public offering, or new yogurts with herb flavors.”
REUTERS

VENTURE CAPITAL '

Twitter Partners With Nielson to Measure Discussion Online  |   The two companies are creating the “Nielsen Twitter TV Rating,” to measure the amount of online buzz created by TV shows.
BLOOMBERG NEWS

Apple Said to Be in Talks With Foursquare Over Data Sharing  |  Apple is looking to integrate data from Foursquare into its maps app, The Wall Street Journal reports, citing unidentified people familiar with the talks.
WALL STREET JOURNAL

Thiel Bets on Harnessing Tornado Power  | 
GIGAOM

LEGAL/REGULATORY '

Approaching a Deal in Fiscal Talks  |  The New York Times reports: “President Obama delivered to Speaker John A. Boehner a new offer on Monday to resolve the pending fiscal crisis, a deal that would raise revenues by $1.2 trillion over the next decade but keep in place the Bush-era tax rates for any household with earnings below $400,000.”
NEW YORK TIMES

In a Rare Move, a Cravath Partner Leaves for Another Firm  |  The law firm Kirkland & Ellis announced on Monday that Sarkis Jebejian had left Cravath, Swaine & Moore to join its New York office.
DealBook '

Changing China's Growth Model  |  After the Central Economic Work Conference, some argue that China is sending a strong signal on economic reforms, but not everyone is convinced, Bill Bishop writes in the China Insider column.
DealBook '

Voluntary Disclosure on Corporate Political Spending Is Not Enough  |  Mandatory rules are necessary to address gaps and loopholes that exist in vol untary disclosure policies, Lucian A. Bebchuk, a Harvard Law School professor, and Robert Jackson Jr., a Columbia Law School professor, write.
DealBook '

Companies Spend Their Money on Buybacks  |  Flush with cash, American companies “bought back $274 billion more shares than they issued in the year through September, according to Ed Yardeni, president of investment advisory firm Yardeni Research,” The Wall Street Journal reports.
WALL STREET JOURNAL



Cerberus to Sell Gunmaker Freedom Group

The private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management said on Tuesday that it would sell its investment in the gunmaker Freedom Group in response to the school shootings last week in Connecticut.

Cerberus acquired Bushmaster - the manufacturer of the rifle used by the gunman in the Newtown attacks that killed 27 people, including 20 schoolchildren - in 2006.

The private equity giant later merged it with other gun companies to create Freedom Group, which reported net sales of $677.3 million for the nine months that ended in September 2012, a 20 percent increase compared with the same period last year.

“It is apparent that the Sandy Hook tragedy was a watershed event that has raised the national debate on gun control to an unprecedented level,” Cerberus said in a news release.

The private equity firm said it had made the investments in gun manufacturers on behalf of its clients, which include pension funds and other institutional investors. Cerberus added that it was the role of legislators to shape the country's gun policy.

“We believe that this decision allows us to meet our obligations to the investors whose interests we are entrusted to protect without being drawn into the national debate that is more properly pursued by those with the formal charter and public responsibility to do so,” Cerberus said.

The private equity firm said it would retain a financial adviser to sell its interests in Freedom Group, and would return the proceeds to investors. Cerberus, based in New York, was founded in 1992 by William Richter and Stephen Feinberg, and has more than $20 billion of assets under management.

Cerberus is one of several private equity firms that have holdings in gun manufacturers. Colt Defense, which was spun out of the maker of the .44-40 Colt revolver, is jointly owned by Sciens Capital Management, a fund advised by the Blackstone Group and another fund operated by Credit Suisse.

Tuesday's announcement follows a statement from the California State Teachers' Retirement System, a large pension fund, that it was reviewing its investment in Cerberus in light of the firm's holding in Freedom Group.

“At this point, our investment branch is examining the Cerberus investment to determine how best to move forward given the tragic events of last Friday in Newtown, Connecticut,” a spokesman for the Californian public pension fund told Reuters on Monday.

Neil Gough contributed reporting from Hong Kong.



Nielsen to Buy Arbitron for $1.26 Billion

Nielsen Holdings said on Tuesday that it had agreed to acquire Arbitron, the radio ratings company, for $1.26 billion.

The offer of $48 a share in cash for each outstanding share of Arbitron represents a premium of 26 percent to Arbitron's closing price on Monday. Nielsen says it has a financing commitment for the full amount of the transaction.

“U.S. consumers spend almost 2 hours a day with radio. It is and will continue to be a vibrant and important advertising medium,” Nielsen's chief executive, David Calhoun, said in a statement. “Arbitron will help Nielsen better solve for unmeasured areas of media consumption, including streaming audio and out-of-home. The high level of engagement with radio and TV among rapidly growing multicultural audiences makes this central to Nielsen`s priorities.”

The two companies have combined revenue of $6 billion.