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Graphic: Where Credit Is Due

Starting from a simple loan, credit markets have featured many innovations as well as costly crises.

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Graphic: Where Credit Is Due

Starting from a simple loan, credit markets have featured many innovations as well as costly crises.

/* GENERAL STYLES */ .image-1440, h1, .storySummary { display: none; } #page, #shell { border-width: 0; border-top-width: 1px; } #masthead h2 { margin: 0 auto; } #articleToolsTop { margin-top: -3px; } /* RESPONSIVE STUFF */ #page { width: 100%; } #g-graphic { margin-top: 40px; } .g-main-image { max-width: 100%; } @media screen and (min-width: 1100px) { .image-970, .navigation { display: none; } #shell { width: 95%; max-width: 1440px; } .image-1440 { display: block; } }


Plan to Finance Philanthropy Shows the Power of a Simple Question

What if?

That’s the way Lindsay Beck, a two-time cancer survivor and the founder of a successful charity, started thinking about how the world of finance and Wall Street could revolutionize the staid nonprofit industry.

Ms. Beck was a graduate student at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania when she blurted out a question that had been consuming her: “Could there be a Nasdaq for not-for-profits?”

The idea â€" creating the equivalent of a profit-driven stock market for nonprofits â€" might seem counterintuitive at first. It was a “radical idea, and maybe I was naïve,” she acknowledged.

But for the last year, she has pursued the concept. It has gained enough traction that it has won her meetings with executives at Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank and members of the Obama administration. A team of lawyers at Morrison Foerster has been working to understand the tax implications and how to comply with Securities and Exchange Commission rules.

Ms. Beck’s idea is just an idea, a germ of a concept that could go nowhere. And it is early, very early. But it has the potential to upend an entire part of the global economy if it succeeds. By some estimates, if just 1 percent of the money in the portfolios of wealthy individuals in the United States was directed to nonprofits through new financial instruments like social impact bonds or Ms. Beck’s exchange, the nonprofit world would be sitting on $1 trillion.

Wall Street is littered with clever plans to use financial instruments to change behavior â€" carbon trading, for example. Some have changed the world, and others failed miserably. As Douglas Horton said: “Good ideas are a dime a dozen. Bad ones are free.”

Several ideas about using financial instruments and a for-profit approach in the world of nonprofits are now taking hold. This month, Goldman Sachs announced a $250 million social impact fund. Morgan Stanley plans to raise $10 billion over the next five years for what it calls its “investing with impact platform.”

In September, JPMorgan Chase teamed up with the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation to start a $94 million investment fund to finance late-stage drugs, vaccines and tools to fight diseases like malaria, tuberculosis and H.I.V./AIDS.

Considering the black eye that Wall Street has suffered in the public consciousness, some of these efforts will probably be greeted with cynicism. That may very well be part of Wall Street’s motivation, but that hasn’t stopped the nonprofit sector from jumping at the chance to explore how to use these funds to raise money.

Ms. Beck’s idea is an outgrowth of her experiences. She started a nonprofit, Fertile Hope, which helped female cancer survivors with pregnancy. Later, it merged with Livestrong (before Lance Armstrong confessed to doping and left the foundation).

Afterward, she decided to get an M.B.A. She began examining how to make the nonprofit world more efficient at fund-raising and made it her independent study project. She says she has long believed that charitable money is often misallocated; some of the most effective organizations struggle to raise funds, while some of the least effective charities are allocated millions.

That got her thinking: An exchange, like a stock market, would make the success â€" or failure â€" of organizations more transparent, leading to more money in the best hands. On top of that, if donors thought about their charity as an investment, literally, it would transform the nonprofit sector.

“When you take off your charity hat and put on your investor hat, you behave very differently,” she said.

She has been inspired, in part, by several programs that Goldman Sachs developed to sell so-called social-impact bonds. A group led by Alicia Glen, a managing director at Goldman Sachs who is a former lawyer and a former assistant commissioner for housing finance for New York City, has developed a series of such bonds.

Ms. Beck’s vision for an exchange “is very creative and visionary but it may take a long time to come,” Ms. Glen said. She added that although it might be years, if not decades, before such an exchange could be viable, “It is a very laudable goal.”

Ms. Glen should know. She helped develop the financing program for the Citi Bike program, in which Goldman Sachs paid for the purchase of the bicycles and stations in exchange for a potential profit that was capped by the city. Such an arrangement helped provide money for a program that the city could not otherwise have afforded.

The company also created a $9.6 million loan for New York City for a program run by MDRC, a social services provider, aimed at preventing former Rikers Island inmates from ending up back in jail. The program has clear goals and benchmarks. Goldman will directly benefit only if the program works. If recidivism drops by 10 percent, Goldman will be repaid the full $9.6 million by the city. If recidivism decreases more than that, Goldman could a profit, capped at $2.1 million. However, Goldman would lose up to $2.4 million, if recidivism does not fall at least 10 percent.

Goldman has used its own money to finance the programs. But now, it and other firms are coming up with ways to turn these types of programs into investments for its clients. JPMorgan’s nearly $100 million fund works because the Gates Foundation is offering to pay to protect investors from the potential downside of investing in some risky new drugs and vaccines.

“At the outset of the investment, you are underwriting both sides of the ledger: the financial side and the social side,” Ms. Glen said of these new bond products.

Still, Ms. Beck says that to expand such a program broadly, an exchange needs to be created to allow investors to trade these instruments. That way, they could hold the most successful ones and dump the duds.

She says the current spate of “impact bonds” aren’t really bonds; it’s a misnomer. From a technical perspective, she said, “They are really just multiparty contracts with contingent payouts.”

She is developing ways to create a common system to develop social impact bonds that are, in her words, “real bonds.”

Of course, her idea may be ahead of its time. When she was researching her idea, she came across an article from 2006 about a plan to hold initial public offerings for nonprofits. Still, she asked, What if?

Andrew Ross Sorkin is the editor at large of DealBook. Twitter: @andrewrsorkin



Boardrooms Rethink Tactics to Defang Activist Investors

EXECUTIVES and board members used to fear hostile bids above all else. In response, they devised defense mechanisms like poison pills and staggered boards to thwart attacks.

Today, hostile deals are on the wane, but a new threat has emerged that has put boardrooms on edge: activist investors.

“Companies now view the threat of shareholder activism similarly to how they viewed the threat of hostile takeovers in the 1980s,” said Gregg Feinstein, head of mergers and acquisitions at Houlihan Lokey.

Until recently, many companies responded to activists by simply refusing to meet with them and hoping they would go away.

When Daniel S. Loeb of Third Point Management took a stake in Yahoo in 2011, the company was initially dismissive. In an early phone call between Mr. Loeb and Yahoo, the company’s chairman, Roy Bostock, reportedly hung up on him. But a year and a half later, Mr. Loeb had forced out Yahoo’s chief executive and was on the board.

After a string of such debacles, and with activism today more established and prolific than ever before, that approach has fallen out of favor.

“The bunker mentality that had been advised in some quarters is fading as an approach,” said James C. Woolery, deputy chairman at Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft. “Today you need real substantive preparation and real engagement.”

Now, with dozens of activist hedge funds pushing for change at companies large and small, executives, directors and advisers are scrambling to calibrate their defenses to this new and in many ways more challenging threat.

“Activism is here to stay,” said Paul Verbinnen, co-founder of Sard Verbinnen, a public relations firm. “People are at a heightened state of readiness.”

But with activists varying widely in their tactics and intentions, there is no one cookie-cutter defense that works. Instead, companies and advisers are adopting more nuanced tactics.

Many companies are preparing for activists before they even show up.

“Your defense today before an activist shows up is all about blocking and tackling, dynamic self-assessment, followed by really enhanced investor outreach,” said Chris Young, head of contested situations at Credit Suisse. “It’s a dialogue, not a monologue.”

Mr. Young is one of a few bankers who spends almost all of his time advising companies on how to prepare for and deal with activists. William Anderson of Goldman Sachs has a similar role. Smaller investment banks, like Evercore, are now devoting more resources to activism defense practices as well.

To prepare for activists, who often show up with detailed white papers assailing a target’s performance, companies conduct a handful of exercises to give management and boards a better understanding of their perceived vulnerabilities.

Small teams that include management, a banker, a lawyer and an outside public relations specialist are often assembled to prepare a response in the event of an attack. The goal, advisers say, is to see the company through the eyes of an activist, especially at a time when activists have gone from being outspoken agitators to rigorously analytical financial engineers.

“The level of sophistication of the activists has increased,” Richard Grossman, a partner at Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom. “They’re hiring headhunters, using banks to help them come up with white papers, and the quality of their board candidates is increasing.”

Assessments include whether the company’s stock is trading at a discount to its peers, whether it has excess cash on the balance sheet and the youth and engagement of its directors. In a recent report, Citigroup called this kind of preparation being “white paper-ready.”

“Boards are preparing for the possibility that activists may come,” said Robert Kindler, global head of mergers and acquisitions at Morgan Stanley. “Part of it is proactively reviewing areas of vulnerability and seeing whether or not there are things you should be doing anyway.”

WHEN vulnerabilities are uncovered, companies sometimes take action, spinning off divisions or instituting return of capital programs to quell the dissent before it begins.

EMC, the data storage company, began paying a dividend earlier this year in part because it was worried activists could focus on its large cash pile, according to people with knowledge of the company’s thinking.

With paranoia at record highs, some companies are going further.

One company invited an activist investor into the boardroom to explain how he might think about undertaking an assault. A multinational company had a banker write a mock letter from an activist, then tested executives on their response.

“This proactive preparation, what I call ‘the activist fire drill,’ is new technology, so to speak,” Mr. Young said.

Part and parcel with this more proactive assessment of a company’s own performance is communicating better with passive institutional shareholders.

In recent years, many big companies have put more money into their investor relations departments. And instead of simply sending out the head of the department to meet institutional investors, they are sending out the chief executive, chief financial officer and chairman.

“It’s important that the first time a shareholder hears from you isn’t when an activist files a 13-D,” the regulatory filing announcing an activist’s stake, Mr. Grossman said.

In the best case, the situation never goes public and is resolved before a 13-D is ever filed. “The tone of any dialogue will be much more constructive when you can have that out of the public eye,” said Daniel Kerstein of the Barclays strategic finance group, which advises companies.

When situations do play out in public, companies have to be especially sensitive.

For example, when Starboard Value singled out AOL last year, agitating for it to sell patents and proposing a new slate of directors, the company was able to withstand the assault. Shareholders supported the strategy of the chief executive, Tim Armstrong, and voted against Starboard’s board nominees.

And even though Starboard was aggressive in its communications, AOL remained relatively cordial throughout the exchange to avoid appearing dismissive of overall shareholder concerns.

“Other investors are watching,” Mr. Kerstein said. “You need to be mindful of the fact that you are dealing with a constituency who is sensitive to how you are going to treat that one shareholder.”

Another tactic is to simply bring the activists into the fold, defusing tensions before they can become public and affect a company’s reputation and share price. When ValueAct Capital took a stake in Microsoft, the technology company quickly vowed to work with the hedge fund and gave it a board seat.

Of course, situations between companies and activists still do become contentious. And when this happens, new twists to old techniques can come in handy.

A new version of the poison pill, which was originally devised to ward off takeovers, is being tailored to prevent activists from acquiring too large a stake.

After Jana Partners, led by Barry Rosenstein, took a stake in supermarket chain Safeway and began agitating for divestitures and a return of capital, Safeway adopted a novel shareholder rights plan. It stipulated that no investor filing a 13-D, which designates an activist, could acquire more than 10 percent of the company. Passive investors, however, filing 13-G forms, could acquire up to 20 percent.

Even this tactic, however, is of limited use. Like most activists, Jana has no interest in actually owning the company. Instead, it needs only enough of a stake to get the attention of other investors.

“There are no longer any structural defenses,” Mr. Young said. “It used to be that you could set up staggered boards and put in poison pills. But there is no moat to build around your company anymore.”



The Rush to Coin Virtual Money With Real Value

If cash is king, virtual cash may be the crown prince in waiting.

Programmers around the world have been churning out new digital currencies that try to improve on the concept of bitcoin, the hot but controversial virtual money that has swept the Internet.

As questions still swirl around bitcoin’s legality, many technology entrepreneurs are trying to sidestep the currency’s pitfalls by devising new ways to make payments in a cashless future.

Already, dozens of ideas are jockeying for the market. At last count, a website that tracks the market, coinmarketcap.com, listed 36 so-called crypto-currencies, with names like bitbar, freicoin and cryptogenic bullion, and new ones are being added each month. Collectively, these digital moneys had a recent market value of about $3.3 billion, of which $3.1 billion was from the dominant currency, bitcoin.

The online payment system viewed by many insiders as having the best chance of supplanting bitcoin, however, is not even on the list: Ripple. Founded in San Francisco by former bitcoin developers, Ripple holds out the promise not just of a new currency, but also of a novel method to send money around the world. With that potential, it is winning something that has proved elusive for virtual currencies: involvement from more mainstream players in the financial system.

“I haven’t seen anything else as interesting as Ripple,” said Jesse Powell, the founder of Payward, which runs an exchange where digital currencies can be bought and sold. “As far as I’m concerned, bitcoin and Ripple are the only ones that have a real shot at being a big deal.”

On Tuesday, the company overseeing Ripple’s development, Ripple Labs, will announce $3.5 million in financing from six new investors. The company will also announce that it has attracted funds from Pantera Capital, which includes money from executives at the Fortress Investment Group. Chris Larsen, the co-founder of Ripple Labs, said the company had also been talking with banks large and small about joining Ripple’s payment network.

“There’s a lot of interest from the big banks in what’s going on here,” said Mr. Larsen, who previously founded two financial start-ups. “I’ve never seen anything like it before.”

The rapidly growing industry of alternative currencies owes a lot of credit to bitcoin’s surprising success.

Bitcoin has confronted a number of issues that have led to market crashes, but has recovered each time. The latest stumble came after the founder of a popular online marketplace, known as Silk Road, was arrested and accused of using bitcoin to traffic in drugs and other illegal goods. The price of an individual bitcoin initially dropped after Silk Road was shut down, but since then it has risen steadily and recently stood around $260, near a record high.

Still, the entire world of virtual currencies could be rendered irrelevant almost overnight if law enforcement agencies decided to crack down on transactions. Several state and federal authorities have said that they are looking at how to police the market, worried that the anonymous nature of the online transactions make the currencies attractive for criminals. A recent study by researchers at the University of California, San Diego found that most bitcoin transactions were being used for gambling.

Even without such legal hurdles, some critics expect that virtual currencies will eventually come to be seen as a speculative bubble with no foundation.

“It really does sound 21st century, but at the end of the day, do you really want to put your money at stake in that?” said Brian Riley, who covers payment systems for CEB TowerGroup.

Despite the questions, the concept of digital currencies has won a growing number of proponents. In the technology sector, many have been drawn to the broader possibility that virtual currencies could allow money to zip around the world without going through banks and payment processors, with all the fees they impose, not to mention onerous government regulations.

One set of competitors are the so-called centralized currencies, which are operated and overseen from a single hub. These work like the loyalty points distributed and overseen by airlines or retailers and can allow regulators to keep a closer eye on transactions. One such currency, known as ven, is tied to a basket of global currencies that keeps the price stable.

But most online entrepreneurs are dismissive of centralized currencies, saying they give too much power to the companies that run them. Prosecutors have said that one centralized currency service, Liberty Reserve, was devised solely to evade government authorities. Its co-founder, Vladimir Kats, pleaded guilty to money laundering last month in federal court in Manhattan.

In recent months, there has been much more excitement in the industry about decentralized currencies, which exist independently of any company. Such platforms have computer code that is usually open source, or available for editing by any programmer. This setup is seen as a benefit because it means that no central authority can determine things like fees, and who can and cannot have access to the currency.

One of the most popular decentralized currencies is litecoin, which was founded by a former Google programmer and intended to improve on some of the flaws in bitcoin, like the somewhat slow transaction times.

Mr. Powell of Payward and many other industry experts, though, say that litecoin and competitors are just tweaked versions of bitcoin..

Ripple is being heralded in some quarters as a more significant innovation than its competitors. Ripple maintains not only a currency, but also a system on which any currency, even bitcoin, can be moved around or traded â€" akin to a cross between Western Union and a currency exchange, without the hefty fees.

A person using the system can deposit any sort of money into a personal Ripple wallet through a business that is signed up as a Ripple gateway. That money can then be moved to the wallet of another Ripple user, without going through a bank or a credit card system.

People moving the same type of currency, say dollars or pounds, to another account on the Ripple system will not have to use its currency, known as ripple or xrp, pronounced letter by letter. But ripple is meant to provide the fastest and cheapest conversions, of one nation’s currency to another or among various types of digital money. The hope is that once people begin using ripple they will keep some of their money in the currency and eventually use it directly to make purchases.

Stefan Thomas, an early bitcoin programmer and now the chief technology officer of Ripple Labs, said he was drawn to the company because it improved on the flaws in bitcoin. For instance, he said, users of Ripple put money into the system through so-called gateways, which should allow regulators to monitor transactions more easily. Ripple also does away with the process of “mining” bitcoins, which has eaten up enormous computing power.

“You kept running into the same criticism,” Mr. Thomas said. “Now there is a thing that has solved all these problems in a fundamental way.”

As with bitcoin, a finite number of ripple will be created â€" 100 billion. Ripple Labs will distribute 55 percent of those free to encourage people and companies to use the system. The 7.5 billion ripple that have been released are worth about $60 million.

The company, with 25 employees, is keeping 25 percent of the currency to sell off to fund its operations.

This setup has drawn criticism from some supporters of bitcoin, who think it gives too much power to Mr. Larsen’s company. But the company will also allow for quicker and more coordinated responses to crises and regulators.

Angela Angelovska Wilson, a lawyer at Latham & Watkins specializing in alternative payment systems, said that Ripple’s more centralized control had allowed it to benefit from some of the bad press surrounding bitcoin, while maintaining the benefits of a decentralized currency.

“Obviously bitcoin was the first mover,” Ms. Wilson said. “But Ripple was right behind it. And then there are a lot of others coming through.”



BlackBerry’s Turnaround Starts All Thumbs

BlackBerry’s turnaround is starting out all thumbs. The $85 million worth of stock handed to new boss John Chen over five years at least provides the right incentives. But the struggling Canadian company surely needs more attention than one man doing both top jobs, especially if he’s commuting from California.

With his technology background and record rejuvenating Sybase, Mr. Chen is qualified to lead BlackBerry. A salary of $1 million and a bonus of up to $2 million a year aren’t too far out of step with the norm. The median 2012 chief executive salary was $850,000 and total annual compensation $1.9 million for Standard & Poor’s midcap companies in a recent survey by GMI Ratings.

Mr. Chen’s stock award, like a severance deal struck earlier this year by his predecessor Thorsten Heins, looks generous, though. That said, it does align his financial interests with those of shareholders. Also, the first installment only kicks in after three years. If Mr. Chen can fix BlackBerry, or perhaps find a buyer willing to pay more than its $3.4 billion market value, he’ll do very well. If he fails to arrest the company’s decline, the payoff will evaporate.

The bigger questions relate to Mr. Chen’s dual roles and living arrangements. For a while, he’ll serve as both interim chief executive and executive chairman. Given BlackBerry’s troubles, there’s a reasonable chance he gets stuck with both jobs for some time. That’s not ideal in any company from a governance perspective. It’s worse still for one with BlackBerry’s challenges and time pressures.

Moreover, for all the lucre being offered him, Mr. Chen won’t be moving from California to BlackBerry headquarters in Waterloo, Ontario. Instead, he’ll fly back and forth on company aircraft. That will be expensive for BlackBerry, which previously said it would sell its planes to cut costs.

The commuting culture didn’t work out well for another company that shelled out big bucks for restructuring help: JCPenney. William Ackman, the hedge fund manager who recruited Ron Johnson from Apple to run the struggling U.S. retailer, later felt that the absences of the chief executive and some lieutenants were partly to blame for the turnaround’s failure. BlackBerry investors and employees might have expected a potential $100 million over five years to come with a requirement to relocate.

Richard Beales is an assistant editor for Reuters Breakingviews in New York. For more independent commentary and analysis, visit breakingviews.com.



BlackBerry’s Turnaround Starts All Thumbs

BlackBerry’s turnaround is starting out all thumbs. The $85 million worth of stock handed to new boss John Chen over five years at least provides the right incentives. But the struggling Canadian company surely needs more attention than one man doing both top jobs, especially if he’s commuting from California.

With his technology background and record rejuvenating Sybase, Mr. Chen is qualified to lead BlackBerry. A salary of $1 million and a bonus of up to $2 million a year aren’t too far out of step with the norm. The median 2012 chief executive salary was $850,000 and total annual compensation $1.9 million for Standard & Poor’s midcap companies in a recent survey by GMI Ratings.

Mr. Chen’s stock award, like a severance deal struck earlier this year by his predecessor Thorsten Heins, looks generous, though. That said, it does align his financial interests with those of shareholders. Also, the first installment only kicks in after three years. If Mr. Chen can fix BlackBerry, or perhaps find a buyer willing to pay more than its $3.4 billion market value, he’ll do very well. If he fails to arrest the company’s decline, the payoff will evaporate.

The bigger questions relate to Mr. Chen’s dual roles and living arrangements. For a while, he’ll serve as both interim chief executive and executive chairman. Given BlackBerry’s troubles, there’s a reasonable chance he gets stuck with both jobs for some time. That’s not ideal in any company from a governance perspective. It’s worse still for one with BlackBerry’s challenges and time pressures.

Moreover, for all the lucre being offered him, Mr. Chen won’t be moving from California to BlackBerry headquarters in Waterloo, Ontario. Instead, he’ll fly back and forth on company aircraft. That will be expensive for BlackBerry, which previously said it would sell its planes to cut costs.

The commuting culture didn’t work out well for another company that shelled out big bucks for restructuring help: JCPenney. William Ackman, the hedge fund manager who recruited Ron Johnson from Apple to run the struggling U.S. retailer, later felt that the absences of the chief executive and some lieutenants were partly to blame for the turnaround’s failure. BlackBerry investors and employees might have expected a potential $100 million over five years to come with a requirement to relocate.

Richard Beales is an assistant editor for Reuters Breakingviews in New York. For more independent commentary and analysis, visit breakingviews.com.



Determining the Victims of Insider Trading

The guilty plea hearing last week in the Justice Department’s prosecution of SAC Capital Advisors raised an interesting question about the law of insider trading: Just who are the victims of a violation? A provision of the federal securities laws gives those who traded at the same time as the insider a right to sue for a violation, but the Justice Department said they are not victims of the crime.

At the hearing, the firm’s general counsel, Peter Nussbaum, expressed “our deep remorse for the misconduct of each individual who broke the law while employed at SAC.” But even though SAC admitted guilt, the plea agreement has not been approved yet by Judge Laura Taylor Swain of the Federal District Court in Manhattan.

Under the terms of the agreement, the judge must decide whether to approve without change the penalties provided, which include a $900 million fine, termination of SAC’s investment advisory business and five years of probation that includes appointment of an outside monitor to oversee the firm’s compliance with insider trading regulations. If Judge Swain does not go along, SAC will have the opportunity to withdraw its guilty plea, or it can choose to accept whatever punishment the judge deems appropriate. The firm will return to court in March after the preparation of a presentence report, at which point it will learn whether the case has been resolved.

The hearing also included a brief diversion when a lawyer for investors who have sued SAC asked the court to reject the plea agreement because it does not include a specific acknowledgment of a violation for trades in Elan and Wyeth based on information about a drug trial. That trading makes up the bulk of the government’s case, involving losses avoided and gains totaling approximately $276 million, far more than the amount seen in other transactions.

Judge Swain permitted the lawyer to speak because of Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 60(a)(3), which gives victims of a crime the right to be heard in a proceeding about accepting a guilty plea. Her decision to postpone that decision means that she could still make a broader admission of guilt by SAC a condition of acceptance.

Although the Justice Department did not oppose the request, it argued that the investors in Elan and Wyeth did not qualify as victims of SAC’s crimes, a term defined in the Crime Victims Rights Act as one who was “directly and proximately harmed” by the violation. A letter filed by the prosecutors stated that “an individual who happens to buy or sell securities at the same time as an insider trading defendant is not considered a ‘victim’ under the C.V.R.A. because that individual was denied the opportunity to make the same illegal profits obtained by the defendant.”

Instead, the focus in insider trading prosecutions is on protection of the markets, and the broader economy, as the true victim of the violation. In sentencing Raj Rajaratnam to 11 years in prison after his conviction, Federal District Court Judge Richard J. Holwell said that “insider trading is an assault on the free markets” and the “crimes reflect a virus in our business culture that needs to be eradicated.”

Yet the federal securities law sends a different message by authorizing those who traded at the time of the insider transactions to pursue a private lawsuit. The case filed by the Elan and Wyeth investors against SAC is under a little used provision, Section 20A of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, that gives “contemporaneous traders” a right to sue those trading on inside information.

The law was adopted in 1988 as part of the Insider Trading and Securities Fraud Enforcement Act in response to the scandals involving Ivan Boesky and others, an era epitomized by the movie “Wall Street.” A report by the House of Representatives said that the law would “provide greater deterrence, detection and punishment of violations of insider trading.”

The act authorizes the Securities and Exchange Commission to seek triple penalties for insider trading while allowing individual investors to pursue a claim as a backup. But the private plaintiffs can recover only the gains or losses avoided by the defendant, and any award is reduced by payments made to settle a government case over the trading.

That creates an odd situation because investors on the opposite side of the transactions are provided a right to enforce the law but are not considered victims of the crime for purposes of whether to accept a plea agreement involving the same trades.

The problem with calling a contemporaneous trader a victim is that securities trading is largely anonymous, with orders placed electronically involving no real interaction between buyers and sellers. Whether someone might be acting on inside information in making a trade is largely irrelevant to the counterparty who engages in a transaction for his or her own purposes.

That is particularly true now with the prevalence of high-frequency trading systems that give no consideration to the fundamentals of a company, only looking at whether there is a pricing anomaly that can generate profitable trading. Giving contemporaneous traders a right to pursue a case is similar to the federal False Claims Act that authorizes individuals to sue on behalf of the government for claims that it was defrauded.

Insider trading is more about the unfairness of someone realizing benefits from unauthorized trading on confidential information than about identifying victims of the violation. Although it is a misnomer to describe it as a “victimless crime,” it is a type of securities fraud in which no one will have an identifiable loss like the victim of a Ponzi scheme.

As I noted in a previous post , the plea agreement with SAC was carefully drafted to avoid having the firm admit to a violation for any particular trades, so it can still deny that the transactions in Elan and Wyeth constituted insider trading. But even if it were forced to make such an admission, that would not have much effect on the investor lawsuit. SAC has already paid the S.E.C. approximately $275 million in forfeited profits for its illegal gains for that trading as part of a settlement in March, so the investors look to be precluded from any additional recovery from the firm.

Although federal law grants rights to victims in criminal prosecutions, when the case involves insider trading it looks like no one can claim that status.



Injuries for 2 N.F.L. Players in Public Offering Deal

Sunday was a bad day for Fantex, the fledgling company promoting initial public offerings of National Football League stars.

First, media reports surfaced that Fantex’s first I.P.O. prospect, the Houston Texans running back Arian Foster, is expected to have back surgery that will end his season. Then, the company’s second client, the San Francisco 49ers tight end Vernon Davis, left his game in the first half after suffering a concussion and did not return.

Fantex acknowledged that the chance of injury was a significant risk when it unveiled its innovative new business last month. The company is primarily a sports marketing and management firm that signs athletes and takes a stake in their future earnings, including playing contracts and brand endorsements.

But to fund the payments for those stakes, Fantex has created stocks that it hopes to sell to the public. These stocks are intended to track the athletes’ economic performance. Ultimately, the company wants to build an exchange that will allow small investors to buy and sell interests in the earnings of not only football players, but also other athletes and entertainers.

While investors can register with Fantex on its website, the company is not yet accepting orders for the I.P.O.’s. Cornell French, the co-founder and chief executive of Fantex, had said the company hoped to begin to take reservations for the Foster deal next week, but thus far, it is still not open for business.

A Fantex spokesman declined to comment until after the Texans announced details about Mr. Foster’s future.

The start-up’s business model has raised eyebrows on Wall Street and in the sports industry. Some market commentators have raised red flags about the Fantex deals. Not only do they say that an injury could cut short a player’s career and earnings potential, but also highlight the deal’s complex structure.

Investors will receive a so-called tracking stock in Arian Foster’s or Vernon Davis’s brand. But unlike owners of a common stock, who have a claim on a company’s future earnings, investors in the Foster or Davis deals will have no actual interest in the player’s future earnings. The tracking stocks are merely intended to benefit from the athlete’s economic performance, but there is no guarantee that they will. Nor is there any guarantee of a dividend.

People familiar with Fantex’s business model say that the company is targeting sports fans who are willing to part with a small amount of money so they can have more than a just a rooting interest in their favorite player. The minimum investment is just $10.

In the case of Mr. Foster, Fantex is selling about $10 million in stock to pay Mr. Foster for a 20 percent interest in his future income. It plans to sell about $4 million in shares to buy 10 percent of Mr. Davis’s future earnings. If demand for the tracking stocks is insufficient, the company may cancel the deals.

Mr. Foster’s and Mr. Davis’s physical ailments are not the company’s only setbacks.

Fantex had hoped to offer its first deals at the start of the N.F.L. season, in part to avoid the possibility of an injury. But the review process by Wall Street regulators, especially at the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, or Finra, took longer than anticipated, which held up the company’s debut.



For Better Performance, Hedge Funds Seek the Inner Trader

IN the hedge fund industry, as in sports, performance is everything.

So after several years of lackluster performance, the industry is increasingly turning to self-help programs, sometimes referred to as “mindware” products, to try to improve its game.

To cater to this demand, a whole new cottage industry has cropped up in which statisticians track performance data, and coaches and psychiatrists work to help hedge fund managers make smarter decisions by getting them to talk about their personal histories and biases. The thinking goes that if an athlete can use coaches, why not traders?

The idea is not new, but it has taken some time to gain traction. In the early 1990s, Steven A. Cohen, the founder of SAC Capital Advisors, hired Ari Kiev, a psychiatrist who had previously worked with athletes, to coach SAC’s traders.

Two decades on, aided by the growing popularity of literature on the behavioral science of decision making, the idea that self-awareness can lead to better decisions in business and finance is beginning to be accepted on Wall Street. Borrowing from books like Daniel Kahneman’s “Thinking, Fast and Slow,” trading coaches talk about the systemic, recurrent and predictable mistakes to which humans are prone.

“When you look at finance, we are besotted with analyzing the outcome,” said Simon Savage, who manages funds for the GLG Partners division of Man Group, one of the world’s biggest hedge funds. In sports like baseball, discovering the process that led to an outcome is as important as the outcome, Mr. Savage said, so it seems logical to apply this thinking to investing.

GLG Partners has devoted what it says are significant resources toward discovering why its traders are successful or not. Seven years ago, the company began to collect data to analyze its traders’ “hit rate,” meaning the percentage of successful trades.

This simple research provided crucial feedback for traders, Mr. Savage said, but it missed one crucial question: how GLG could help its traders avert mistakes in the future. So about 18 months ago it hired a trading coach to work with 30 of its employees in London to help find the answer.

“The most common measure of skill seems to be performance, but performance is not a measure of skill â€" it’s a function of skill and luck,” said Clare Flynn Levy, an entrepreneur and former fund manager. Her start-up firm, Essentia Analytics, uses software that allows hedge funds to keep files on individual traders and their track records.

If you cannot tell the difference between skill and luck, “how on earth are you supposed to tell someone how to do better?” Ms. Levy said.

Man Group uses Essentia software to help measure traders’ performance so they can look back and zero in on where they need work. Then, with a coach, they try to determine why they make certain mistakes.

Trading coaches focus on the same areas as athletes do â€" rest, patience, mental outlook, intuition and personal obstacles.

Denise Shull, a coach who wrote “Market Mind Games: A Radical Psychology of Investing, Trading and Risk,” began her career by studying neuroscience at the University of Chicago and later became a trader at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Now she coaches clients to discover the unconscious characteristics that influence the decisions they make.

“Our baggage affects how we perform,” Ms. Shull said. “If you become conscious of that, you can make a change.”

One of Ms. Shull’s recent clients runs the trading desk at a major overseas bank and sought help because he was frustrated that he could never bring himself to make bold trades. Together, they traced his lack of appetite for risk back to a conservative mother. Ms. Shull said that this revelation made her client feel more emboldened, at least initially, to make bigger bets.

Personal histories play into how we make decisions, and there are over 50 different kinds of behavioral biases that human beings generally are vulnerable to: hedge fund managers, unsurprisingly, tend to be vulnerable to similar biases.

The most common of these is a fear of losing, leading some managers to sell out of a stock or a position prematurely, said Rick Di Mascio, the chief executive at Inalytics, a company that provides software for hedge funds to log their traders’ information.

Mr. Di Mascio says he tells clients that selling early comes at a cost to their businesses.

In one case, Mr. Di Mascio said, this bias cost a hedge fund the equivalent of a third of the total performance of the fund each year, when compared with the fund’s earnings if managers sold their holdings at peak levels.

Hedge funds that have tried analysis and coaching say they help limit the tendency for managers to make predictable mistakes, but it does not eliminate those mistakes.

Many hedge funds have considered dabbling in psychology but will not talk about it publicly. In a world where ego reigns and managers are paid based on their convictions, admitting that one is wrong and learning from mistakes remains a difficult sell.

“There is probably somewhat of a stigma against performance coaching in finance,” said one retired hedge fund manager who still manages personal investments and agreed to speak only on condition of anonymity.

Nevertheless, firms like Man Group continue to forge ahead, probing into new areas of behavioral science.

Last summer, a group of traders at its GLG unit in London were hooked up to heart monitors to test their stress levels in certain situations.

Mr. Savage would like to pursue other biometrics, too. “We’re going down that path where there are so many things we could do.” Joking, he added, “Stopping short of cheek swabs, pinpricks and invasive testing, like for testosterone.”



Slowing the Revolving Door Between Public and Private Jobs

IT has been called “corrupt,” “corrosive” and “hazardous to our health.” Yet, Washington’s revolving door spins on.

Countless prosecutors, regulators and congressional aides continue to enter the metaphoric portal that shuttles government officials to the private sector and back again. The officials swap their government résumés for seven-figure salaries at law firms and lobbying shops, making it a way of life in Washington and on Wall Street.

Free-market ideals dictate that all this job-hopping is perfectly legal, if not desirable. Why shouldn’t relatively low-paid government employees trade their knowledge for better incomes, and perhaps better lives, in the private sector?

While they may be entitled to do so, the fear remains that the revolving door fosters a clubby culture in Washington, where regulators and prosecutors might tread lightly on banks to bolster job prospects. When these officials secure private sector jobs, critics fret, they also might exert undue influence on former colleagues and friends who remain in the government.

The problem runs both ways. The public is similarly skeptical of Wall Street lawyers joining regulatory agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission, fearing that the lawyers never truly cut their industry ties.

To address those concerns, watchdog groups, former government officials and even the White House are pushing policies that might better protect the public interest. The Obama administration took the first steps, increasing the restrictions on presidential appointees.

Now, groups like Public Citizen and the Project on Government Oversight are thinking bigger, advocating novel, if long-shot, ideas to narrow the revolving door. Raise the annual salary of government officials to $400,000. Require agencies to post a webcast of their meetings with industry lobbyists. Lengthen the one-year cooling-off period during which some lawyers and lobbyists are barred from having official contact with their former government employers.

And then there is Sheila C. Bair’s idea: a lifetime ban on former regulators’ working for institutions they once policed. A former banking regulator who shunned the revolving door herself, Ms. Bair said such a ban could erase any incentive regulators have to curry favor with Wall Street.

“It would change the regulatory mind-set,” Ms. Bair, the former head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and now a senior adviser to the Pew Charitable Trusts, said in an interview.

Already, lawyers face the cooling-off period and a permanent ban on defending cases they helped prosecute. Too many rules, critics concede, would stymie the government from attracting top talent.

Ms. Bair’s goal is not to eliminate the revolving door. Even so, her idea could obstruct the career paths of many S.E.C. lawyers. The last six S.E.C. enforcement chiefs have moved on to top corporate firms and big banks like JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America. Robert S. Khuzami, a former federal terrorism prosecutor who overhauled the agency’s enforcement program after the financial crisis, recently landed a lucrative partnership at Kirkland & Ellis.

In an interview, Mr. Khuzami noted that many of the S.E.C.’s rank and file were “career” government employees. The average tenure of departing S.E.C. employees has jumped in recent years to 13.5 years in the 2010 fiscal year from 8.3 years in the 2006 fiscal year, according to a recent Government Accountability Office study.

Another school of thought contends that the revolving door makes government tougher on Wall Street. Anyone required to shine a light on the darkest corners of the financial industry, the theory goes, must know where to look.

When the S.E.C. missed signs of the financial crisis, the agency acknowledged that it lacked the private sector expertise necessary to ferret out wrongdoing. The argument echoes statements that President Franklin D. Roosevelt supposedly picked the financier Joseph P. Kennedy as the first S.E.C. chairman because Kennedy “knew where the bodies were buried.”

Mr. Khuzami, who was a senior lawyer at Deutsche Bank before joining the S.E.C., has adopted a similar philosophy. He says he understands concerns about the revolving door, but he disputes that it compromises investigations. Before the enforcement unit can file a case, it comes under review by S.E.C. commissioners, other agency divisions and dozens of investigators.

“At the S.E.C., no one person can inappropriately put their thumb on the scale,” Mr. Khuzami said.

Studies are split on the subject. S.E.C. officials point to a study last year by a group of accounting specialists that found that the revolving door toughened enforcement results. Contrary to popular belief, the study said, S.E.C. lawyers enforce a hard line at the agency partly to showcase their legal prowess to prospective employers.

The report also found “no evidence” that law firms with large contingents of S.E.C. alumni “are able to exercise influence over ongoing enforcement efforts.”

The Project on Government Oversight, however, asserted in a study this year that former S.E.C. officials had secured favorable results from the agency. To underscore its concerns, the study cited the S.E.C.’s scuttled money market regulations and instances when the agency softened the blow of enforcement actions against JPMorgan Chase and UBS.

One remedy, according to the project, is transparency. The group wants the S.E.C. to post a webcast of all meetings with lawyers and lobbyists. Alternatively, the agency should provide a detailed online summary of the gathering.

The group is also urging regulators to provide online access to ethics records. S.E.C. alumni must file paperwork when they appear before the agency within two years of departing, but those records are available only through a Freedom of Information Act request.

“If the S.E.C. is already going to the trouble of collecting these records, why not just post them online?” said Michael Smallberg, an investigator for the group. “Transparency is just a basic way to root out conflicts of interest.”

But it is not the only way. Mr. Smallberg and others suggest tightening rules that are prone to loopholes.

A one-year “cooling off” period that affects the S.E.C. as well as other agencies and Congress is a natural place to start. A 1989 law prevents some onetime congressional aides from lobbying their former employers within one year of working on the Hill. The S.E.C. and other federal agencies have adopted similar bans, and even toughened them.

But they typically apply only to senior officials, or those who earn more than $155,000 a year. The ban, watchdogs say, should apply to all government employees, not just senior ones. They are also calling for a ban of two years.

The White House has imposed restrictions of its own. On President Obama’s first day in office, he published an executive order barring all presidential appointees from lobbying his administration after leaving it, effectively imposing an eight-year ban on the leaders of the S.E.C., F.D.I.C. and other regulatory agencies. The appointees, for their first two years in office, must also recuse themselves from any matter “directly and substantially related” to any former client or employer.

While groups like Public Citizen cheered that order, they fear it will expire when Mr. Obama leaves office in January 2017. With about three years to go, Public Citizen is urging Congress to turn the order into law. “It’s had a phenomenal effect on the quality and integrity of the government,” said Craig Holman, a government affairs lobbyist for Public Citizen whose report “A Matter of Trust” laid the groundwork for the executive order.

Watchdog groups also contend that bigger government salaries might make the revolving door less appealing. Some suggest that the roughly $100,000 government salary should climb to half a million dollars. Ms. Bair said she supported most senior bank examiners’ making about $400,000.

Her other idea, a lifetime ban on former officials’ working for companies they once regulated, is perhaps even bolder. Such a plan is not without precedent, though, and has inspired comparisons to the Foreign Service program at the State Department, which deploys career diplomats.

The measure Ms. Bair floated could allay concerns that regulators are “all in the pocket” of the banks, she said. It also might remove the “upside down” incentive for regulators to keep Wall Street happy.

“You want them going into the banks with a clear head,” she said.



Stepping Up With a Plan to Save American Cities

FOR decades, cities and states that needed more cash for their workers’ pensions have turned to local taxpayers, the municipal bond market or even the workers themselves. Now those options appear to be drying up.

That leaves mayors and governors with a troublesome issue. The law says they have to keep their pension plans intact, but the cost is growing every year, and they are running out of ways to raise the money. Taxpayers fight any kind of increase now, and the bond markets have grown chilly since Detroit declared bankruptcy.

One municipal bankruptcy expert has been devising a structure that may help cities find their way out of the jam. James E. Spiotto, a partner with Chapman & Cutler in Chicago, has loosely modeled his idea on the special-purpose entities that helped tide New York City through its fiscal crisis of 1975. He calls his version the Public Pension Funding Authority, and he has been pitching it to federal regulators, credit analysts, bond dealers, academics and lawmakers â€" anyone worried that without some kind of fix, more cities will go the way of Detroit.

“Which is the death spiral,” Mr. Spiotto said, citing the self-feeding cycle of unbalanced budgets, cuts in policing and other essential services, tax increases and an exodus of frustrated homeowners and businesses. Each round of departures leaves a smaller and poorer population behind, struggling to cover the city’s mounting costs. At the end of the spiral is a bleak scene like the one playing out in Detroit, where the city is destitute but its workers and retirees still have a constitutional right to be paid in full for work performed years ago.

“You can’t just say, ‘Workers, you lose,’ or, ‘Citizens, you lose,’ ” Mr. Spiotto said. “The citizens and the workers and the retirees are all in this together.”

Ideally, the Public Pension Funding Authority would halt death spirals and save distressed American cities. It would not be able to make money appear out of nowhere, of course, but it would offer independent, quasi-judicial powers to sort out the facts of each case, then help severely troubled communities restructure their debts.

The authority could determine, for example, whether a city had exhausted its ability to raise taxes, or whether ballooning pension obligations were preventing a city from providing essential services. It could decide whether bigger contributions from a city or its workers could save a tottering pension fund, or whether the plan was simply unsustainable. The authority’s decisions would be binding.

Mr. Spiotto said it would be possible, in theory, to establish such an authority at the federal level. But he thought it would be better to have the states create their own versions through legislation. That’s how New York City wound up in the hands of the Municipal Assistance Corporation and the Emergency Financial Control Board in 1975. Once an authority was up and running, Mr. Spiotto said, distressed cities could approach it for help voluntarily. But it would also have powers to step in when a city â€" or a town, county, school district or other local government â€" reached predetermined thresholds. It could intervene if a municipal pension fund fell below a certain level of funding, for example, or if a local government was so overwhelmed that it could no longer provide for the safety and well-being of its people.

Some policy makers say the idea has promise, but the unions that represent public workers are extremely skeptical, seeing it as a way around laws that forbid any reduction of public pensions.

Daniel Biss, a state senator in Illinois who has been serving on a joint House-Senate pension committee in Springfield, said he was “certainly intrigued” by the idea, but added that no one had drafted or introduced a bill yet. “There’s a genuine dispute about how bad the problem is,” said Mr. Biss, a Democrat from Evanston who taught mathematics at the University of Chicago before his election to the Senate. He said he thought that the state’s pension morass was “horrific” but that others disagreed with him, citing rosier projections.

To avoid getting mired in the endless, polarizing debate about pension numbers, Mr. Spiotto would have his authority do something simpler: determine how much of a benefit a city could afford in the current year.

In many places, the money available for pensions after budgeting for essential services, maintenance and debt service would be less than the yearly cost of the existing pension plan. In such cases, the authority would work with local officials on redesigning the plan within the city’s means. It would be bitter medicine, to be sure.

“When you raise this with municipal leaders, their response is, ‘Hold on! What happened to democracy?’ ” Mr. Biss said.

In Illinois, and many other states, he said, the power to fix public pensions rested solely with the state legislature. Mayors, like Rahm Emanuel of Chicago, can talk themselves blue about pension woes but accomplish nothing; reform can come only from the state.

Mr. Biss said that when he discussed the idea of an authority with local leaders, they thought it sounded like one more way for the state to limit their powers. “They’d like a free hand to deal with it,” he said. “They’d like to have a minimum external mandate, and a maximum of external support.”

Mr. Spiotto acknowledged that local officials were wary of the idea and labor leaders were opposed to it. “They think they can just raise taxes,” Mr. Spiotto said. “I understand where they’re coming from.”

He said that when a city had begun to decline, raising taxes locally could hasten the spiral, exposing retirees to even bigger potential losses. Halting the death spiral would be better for everyone.

If retirees had to give up part of their benefits, it would be with the guarantee that what was left was rock-solid â€" no more risk of a disorderly collapse later on. For active municipal workers, the authority would require any cuts to be distributed across the entire local work force, rather than imposing all the pain on the young, as is now the usual practice. That could reduce turnover and improve the level of public services.

And for residents, more money would be made available to repair crumbling streets, improve public schools and bolster police and fire services. Local taxpayers would be able to see where their tax money was going and, if they liked what they saw, lose interest in moving away. With luck, the local tax base would stop shrinking.

The authority would “hardwire” the funding of the new benefit plan, Mr. Spiotto said. It would have the power to intercept city tax money and make sure it was used to fund the benefits. Under certain circumstances, the authority might issue bonds to fund the plan, or it might transfer a city’s failing pension fund into a bigger, stronger state network. If necessary, the authority could even send a municipality into federal bankruptcy court, using its own findings of fact as the basis of a prepackaged debt-adjustment plan.

“People are looking at this,” Mr. Spiotto said. “It could work very well for Michigan, and for a number of states. You’ve got to have buy-in by the local municipalities.”

Getting buy-in is a slow process. It took a full decade to enact the federal law that requires companies to fund their pensions, starting in December 1963 with the closing of a Studebaker plant in South Bend, Ind. The car company’s pension plan was not funded and workers and retirees lost their benefits, delivering a serious blow to the company town and highlighting the need for reform. Early versions of the federal pension law covered state and city pensions, too, but those provisions were dropped amid opposition by governors citing sovereignty and separation-of-powers issues.

Detroit’s bankruptcy may revive interest, though. The city is calling for harsh losses for retirees and bondholders. If the court approves them, America may have another Studebaker moment, where the pain is so bad that others vow not to let it happen again.

“Presently, we are playing the game of blink,” Mr. Spiotto said. “Everyone believes that the other side should give in and blink.”



For $99, Eliminating the Mystery of Pandora’s Genetic Box

IF DNA is destiny, then Anne Wojcicki is in the right business.

She is the co-founder and chief executive of 23andMe, a Silicon Valley start-up that offers a $99 DNA test, as easy as spitting into a tube, that provides detailed genetic information from disease risk to family lineage.

In a recent interview at 23andMe’s office in Mountain View, Calif., Ms. Wojcicki (pronounced wo-JIT-skee) discussed the Silicon Valley girls’ club, the ties connecting her marriage and her business and why she is convinced that personal genetics will change health care.

What follows are excerpts from that interview, edited for length and clarity.

Q. In the last five years, 23andMe has mapped the genotype of 475,000 people. What do you expect to happen in the next five years?

A. Genetics is going to be a ubiquitous part of health care. I think that everyone is going to get their genome. At some point, health care is going to reimburse for it. And you’re going to hear stories of people really taking ownership of health prevention, directed by their genome, and hear less and less the fear of “Oh, my grandmother died of Alzheimer’s. It’s a horrible disease I hope I never get.”

Q. But you’re not yet halfway to your goal of one million people being genotyped, which you have said would be the tipping point that moves medicine into the molecular era. What has held people back?

A. We’ll hit a million sometime in the first quarter of next year. There are a lot of misperceptions about genetics. But there’s a big societal shift where we’re putting the onus of your health onto you, the individual. One of the best aspects of health care reform is it starts to emphasize prevention.

Q. Isn’t a big reason people are hesitant to get a DNA test because they’re scared about what they would find out?

A. I blame that on our medical system. We have been trained not to think about our health care until there’s a problem. Education’s a big part of it, and making sure people understand that if you have a genetic risk for a disease, it doesn’t mean it’s deterministic. Every couple of weeks, someone writes in and says, ‘23andMe saved my life.’ It’s a really important piece of the puzzle in an unsolved medical mystery.

Q. Did Angelina Jolie’s publicity about her genetic risk for breast cancer and her mastectomy help?

A. It definitely made people ask us to test for this, and it definitely made people aware that wow, your genetic information can lead to pretty significant medical decisions.

Q. Is there a concern this type of information will lead to excess medical testing?

A. My hope here is that as genetics becomes part of health care, it can help. For example, right now all women over 40 or 50 get a mammogram, but clearly not all women have the same risk. So how can you use genetics to say this is a group of people who are high-risk and get the screen and this is a group of people who should delay it?

Q. Preventive measures are easier to take for some diseases, like diabetes or skin cancer. But what if someone is at risk for something like Alzheimer’s?

A. I’ve found it motivates people to be as healthy as possible. There’s enough data showing that the fitter you are, the better you eat, the more likely you are to stay healthy longer. And knowledge is always good. If I know I’m at genetically high risk of Alzheimer’s, maybe I don’t plan to retire at 80, and maybe I’m more proactive about where I’m going to live and who’s going to take care of me.

Q. What have you personally discovered from genotyping?

A. I’m at higher risk for breast cancer, and that made me more religious about not drinking alcohol. My husband is at high risk for Parkinson’s. People who know that they’re high risk for something want to get proactively involved. My husband is very involved in disease research.

Q. Speaking of your husband, Sergey Brin, a Google founder, you two are separated. Since both he and Google are investors in 23andMe, how will the split affect the company?

A. Sergey’s incredibly supportive of what we’re doing and he encourages me all the time to push the envelope. We’re very good friends. We biked to work together this morning. Sergey likes to think in a different way about the world. And I can’t say enough good things about what Google Ventures has done for us.

Q. You give people the option to share their genetic data anonymously with researchers from academia, government and the pharmaceutical industry for studies. Do people agree to do that?

A. A majority do it. We’re creating a resource for humanity and we don’t want to be the only ones who are getting access to it. As many people as possible should get access to that data.

Q. What if insurance companies try to get people’s genetic information to determine their eligibility for coverage?

A. Employment and health insurance are now protected by the Genetic Information Nondiscrimination Act. Long-term care coverage is a gray area and I think that’s where there needs to be protection.

Q. You have deep roots in Silicon Valley since childhood, when you lived on the Stanford campus. How has innovation here changed?

A. When I grew up here, there was this divide between the Stanford world that was the academics who had a lot of radical ideas and the business people who knew how to execute. Now you have a lot of people who would have been an academic, but they come out with these insane ideas and start companies.

Q. How has the tech world changed over the last few years?

A. The Valley is so fun right now. It’s a little bit too fun.

Q. What does that mean?

A. There’s been so much success. Housing prices have gotten a little bit insane. Every so often it’s like, “Can we just have a normal dinner and talk about something normal? Why do houses have to fly?”

But it’s a really fun, supportive spirit. I read stuff about the old days when people, especially women, used to be competitive. I saw Sheryl Sandberg and Marissa Mayer the other day at Marissa’s Halloween party. There’s real community support.

Q. The three of you are some of the most prominent women in Silicon Valley, but over all, the tech world has a dearth of women. How has that affected your career?

A. I still meet old-school scientists who are like, “Oh honey, women aren’t good at science.” You kind of dismiss them as insane. I feel that gender balance in the work environment is actually the best recipe for success. But if you look at my engineering team, it’s not balanced, and it 100 percent should be.

Q. You have a young son and daughter. How do you teach them about these issues?

A. I became very acutely aware of how language is used around women and men; people always say, “Oh, her outfit is so cute.” I’m more of an advocate for balance. I emphasize to them that they’re problem-solvers; they can be cute and wearing adorable outfits but fundamentally they’re problem-solvers.

That mind-set is like your health. Your destiny is not determined. You have tons of potential and you’re given a certain number of tools in life. What you are going to create with that?



Banks May Curb Traders’ Use of Chat Rooms

LONDON-Credit Suisse, JPMorgan Chase and other investment banks are considering limiting the ability of their traders to chat electronically with other banks amid a series of investigations of potential manipulation of the foreign exchange market, according to people briefed on the matter.

No decisions have yet been made, but the banks are considering prohibiting traders from participating in group chats with employees of several rival banks at the same time, those people said.

If the restrictions are put into effect, traders are expected to still be able to speak to clients via chat or individual traders at another bank, just not in a group session featuring several banks at once, the people said.

Barclays and Citigroup are also among the banks said to be considering limits.

The banks declined to comment on Monday.

Regulators in Britain, the United States, Switzerland and Hong Kong have all announced inquiries into possible manipulation of currency trading in recent months

The use of chat rooms by traders at multiple banks are among the areas being scrutinized by regulators in the foreign exchange investigations.

About a dozen traders have been placed on leave pending the outcomes of the currency trading investigations.

Several of the banks have been reviewing the use of so-called multi-dealer chats for some time, in part because of concerns raised during a long-running investigation into the manipulation of the London interbank offered rate, or Libor, a global benchmark interest rate, the people said.

Barclays, UBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, Rabobank and ICAP have paid more than $3 billion in the Libor scandal in total.



Banks May Curb Traders’ Use of Chat Rooms

LONDON-Credit Suisse, JPMorgan Chase and other investment banks are considering limiting the ability of their traders to chat electronically with other banks amid a series of investigations of potential manipulation of the foreign exchange market, according to people briefed on the matter.

No decisions have yet been made, but the banks are considering prohibiting traders from participating in group chats with employees of several rival banks at the same time, those people said.

If the restrictions are put into effect, traders are expected to still be able to speak to clients via chat or individual traders at another bank, just not in a group session featuring several banks at once, the people said.

Barclays and Citigroup are also among the banks said to be considering limits.

The banks declined to comment on Monday.

Regulators in Britain, the United States, Switzerland and Hong Kong have all announced inquiries into possible manipulation of currency trading in recent months

The use of chat rooms by traders at multiple banks are among the areas being scrutinized by regulators in the foreign exchange investigations.

About a dozen traders have been placed on leave pending the outcomes of the currency trading investigations.

Several of the banks have been reviewing the use of so-called multi-dealer chats for some time, in part because of concerns raised during a long-running investigation into the manipulation of the London interbank offered rate, or Libor, a global benchmark interest rate, the people said.

Barclays, UBS, Royal Bank of Scotland, Rabobank and ICAP have paid more than $3 billion in the Libor scandal in total.



Kirkland & Ellis Poaches Deal Lawyer From Simpson Thacher


11-Nov-13
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One Answer to the Index Fund: Build a Better Index

PAUL A. SAMUELSON made a startling and significant case for index funds in 1974. In a deliberately provocative essay, Mr. Samuelson, who had already won the Nobel in economic science and written the most influential economics textbook in history, said most professional investment managers should “drop dead.”

At the very least, he said, they should “go out of business.”

When fees were included, nearly all stock and bond pickers could not reliably beat the overall market, he said, and the world would be better off if they just stopped trying. “Take up plumbing,” he advised. “Teach Greek,” or, maybe, work for a corporation â€" one that produced something useful. And he issued a challenge: Someone should set up a low-cost portfolio that tracks the Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index, allowing investors to match the returns of the overall stock market.

The essay did not win him many friends on Wall Street. But it struck a sympathetic chord in John C. Bogle, then in the early stages of founding Vanguard. “I took up the challenge,” he said in an interview last month.

On Aug. 31, 1976, with little fanfare, Mr. Bogle started the world’s first index mutual fund. Derided as “Bogle’s Folly,” the fund mirrored the performance of the S.& P. 500 â€" ensuring that, fees aside, investors would not do much worse than the index. They would not do better than the index, either. Merely matching the market â€" being “average” â€" seemed un-American to many mutual fund managers at the time. Yet the new index fund survived a rocky start and has become the immensely popular Vanguard 500 Index fund.

Today, while thousands of stock pickers and individual bond buyers still proudly ply their trades, index funds have swept the world. Including exchange-traded funds â€" nearly all of which are a form of index fund â€" more than $3 trillion in assets are now invested in index funds, according to the Investment Company Institute, the industry’s trade group. The question now is not whether low-cost, diversified, broad-market index funds have any value, it is how much they can be improved.

Mr. Bogle and current executives at Vanguard say the funds have gotten better through techniques that make them hew more closely to their underlying indexes and through economies of scale that enable them to cut costs.

Beyond that, Mr. Bogle said, innovation should not go. “People say they want to build a better mousetrap,” Mr. Bogle said. “Forgive me if I doubt it.”

But several companies say they already have created a better mousetrap â€" broad index funds that can beat the overall market, rather than merely matching it, even including fees.

“We don’t think you need to settle for average returns,” said Chris Brightman, the head of investment management for Research Affiliates, which says it has constructed so-called fundamental indexes that will deliver superior returns.

IN terms of performance, the verdict is not yet in. The performance of the newer indexes â€" and of the funds based on them â€" is close to that of the older ones. Sometimes the newer funds are better, sometimes they are worse. It may take decades to come up with a statistically valid test that will show whether tweaked index funds can regularly outperform the overall market â€" to say nothing of doing it consistently after the cost of the effort has been factored in.

Because the newer indexes are not tracking the overall stock or bond markets â€" and because they often have higher fees than the funds of Vanguard and some other traditional indexers â€" Alex Bryan, a Morningstar analyst, said, “I tend to think most people will be better off with very low-cost diversified funds of the kind sold by Vanguard.”

Still, funds based on indexes from two companies â€" Research Affiliates, based in Newport Beach, Calif., and WisdomTree, based in New York â€" have operated for more than five years, with generally good track records. These firms use criteria like dividend yield and corporate profit to create indexes â€" and index funds based on them â€" that are in some ways filtered versions of the broad indexes.

What is the argument for the new approaches? Jeremy J. Siegel, a professor of finance at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, and the author of “Stocks for the Long Run,” is senior investment strategy adviser at WisdomTree. He said that his research, and that of many other economists, showed that value stocks â€" those priced cheaply compared with the overall market â€" tended to outperform so-called growth stocks over long periods.

“Fundamental indexing captures this value effect very effectively,” he said.

Stocks with a smaller market capitalization have also tended to outperform larger-capitalization stocks, he said, pointing to research by Eugene F. Fama, the University of Chicago economist who is one of this year’s Nobel laureates.

Similarly, Research Affiliates uses several factors â€" including sales, cash flow, dividends and book value â€" to create fundamental indexes that are the basis of E.T.F.’s sold by PowerShares and Charles Schwab, Mr. Brightman said.

Traditional market indexes like those used at Vanguard are “definitely valid benchmarks for performance, but they have a basic drawback,” he said. Because these indexes are constructed on the basis of market capitalization â€" that is, a company like Apple with a huge market cap will have a much larger weight in the index than a company with a smaller market cap like AutoZone â€" an investor will inevitably end up holding a large dollop of companies whose share prices have already risen in value. “Buying low and selling high is the way to make money,” he said. But the rebalancing effect of market-cap-weighted indexes is to buy high and sell low.

“Fundamental indexes do the reverse,” Mr. Brightman said, “and that will produce better returns.”

In response, Fran Kinniry, a principal of Vanguard’s investment strategy group, said that Mr. Brightman and those who practice similar strategies were not really indexers at all. They are active managers â€" similar to stock pickers or strategists who try to time moves in the markets by altering their asset allocation.

“I don’t mean to be too cynical about this, but by every single definition an index is meant to measure the risk and returns of a particular asset class and it has to be market cap-weighted because that’s what the market is,” he said. “That’s our biggest concern. We’re not against actively managed funds at Vanguard. We’ve got many excellent funds that do that. But they’re not index funds.”

A third company, Dimensional Fund Advisors, based in Austin, Tex., takes a different approach. It does not operate index funds, in part, because “Vanguard already does that so well,” said David G. Booth, its chairman. Instead, he said in an interview, his firm uses research by Professor Fama, Kenneth R. French of Dartmouth and Robert C. Merton of M.I.T. to construct funds that are close cousins of index funds, but are intended to outperform them.

“We don’t try to outguess the market,” he said. “But we don’t try to get zero tracking error, either,” meaning that he is not troubled if D.F.A. funds veer from the day-to-day performance of the overall market. Instead, he said, his firm’s funds try to beat traditional indexes “by trading less than the index funds, or by trading at better times.” In addition, he said, the funds often have a greater small-cap value weighting than index funds.

“We’re not setting ourselves up as alternatives to index funds,” he added. “There’s nothing wrong with basic index funds.”

Many companies are trying other approaches aimed at using quantitative measures to beat the market.

For his part, Mr. Bogle said Dimensional Fund Advisors and the fundamental index managers all practiced a form of “active management.”

“Over the long run, I doubt very much that they can really beat the market,” he said, especially if their costs are higher than Vanguard’s, as they generally are.

“The problem is that you don’t know what will perform well in the future,” he said. And he pointed out that small-cap value stocks tended to be more volatile than the overall market, so investors were taking on more risk.

Professor Samuelson never ruled out the possibility that some active managers had enough “flair” to beat the market consistently. He just could not find this particular “subset” of people.

“What is interesting is the empirical fact that it is virtually impossible for academic researchers with access to the published records to identify any member of the subset with flair,” he wrote. “This fact, though not an inevitable law, is a brute fact.”



Transocean Makes Peace With Icahn

Transocean ended its feud with Carl C. Icahn on Monday, agreeing to pay a $3-a-share dividend, make $800 million in cost cuts and undertake shifts in strategy.

Among the changes that Transocean, the oil driller, will pursue is putting some of its assets in a master limited partnership, which the company said could provide financial flexibility.

In return, Mr. Icahn will gain a second seat on the board, which the company plans to shrink to 11 from 14. Shareholders endorsed one of his nominees, Samuel Merksamer, at an annual shareholder meeting in May.

The agreement finally puts to rest a monthslong disagreement between the two sides. At Transocean’s annual meeting, Mr. Icahn failed to win investor support for his other main proposal, a $4-a-share dividend.

But he has lingered in the stock, disclosing a 6 percent stake as recently as June.

“I believe that Transocean is now on the road to realize its great potential,” Mr. Icahn said in a statement. “We look forward to continued collaboration with the board of directors and management.”

It is Mr. Icahn’s latest accomplishment as a shareholder activist this year. He forced a slight bump in price for the takeover of Dell Inc. after months of bitter warfare with the company’s founder.

And he is pressing Apple Inc. to pursue a huge stock buyback, though shareholders and analysts appear much more skeptical about his chances of victory there.



Honesty That Benefits All

It seems that headlines too often highlight the bad deeds of players in financial markets. There are insider trading scandals. Traders collude on interest rate manipulation. Executives backdate options. We often hear the excuse, “Everyone else was doing it, so I didn’t think it was wrong.”

So if jail won’t keep people from committing illegal acts, what will? Economists of a newer breed say they believe they have some answers.

Sure, a good stare-down by the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, has never kept corporate and personal malfeasance at bay. But innovations being adapted from academia could make profound changes in the approach to these issues.

One avenue of attack is to decrease problematic behavior that is happening with help from behavioral economics. We now know that the traditional economics assumption â€" that everyone acts rationally when making decisions â€" is wrong.

Behavioral economists combine the social psychology of human interactions with the thought processes involved in making economic decisions. They predict and explain how people use faulty logic in building a framework for making decisions. Then they figure out how to make people behave properly by inserting new triggers for better behavior.

Some counteractions started in the mid-1950s, when brokerage firms could keep accurate trading records and time-stamped order tickets. Insider trading was outlawed soon after. (My father said it took the fun out of investing, but that was long ago.) Laws prohibiting nefarious practices like front running (trading ahead of a client), and price fixing have been strengthened.

In the early 1980s, traders were incensed when their managers told them that their phone calls were being taped. Now, just the knowledge that a transaction record exists reminds people that they are accountable.

My academic partners Nina Mazar from the University of Toronto and Dan Ariely from Duke University have studied how ordinary people rationalize cheating. Their findings highlight how people can justify lying if it’s “just a little bit.”

Their research found this rationalization being used when customers underreported annual miles driven when filling out their car insurance audit forms, or their income when filling out tax returns. Then they studied the effect of adding morality reminders by asking customers to sign forms attesting to the accuracy of their reports at the top of a page, instead of the bottom.

In our research and in interventions to change behavior, we have found that minor, even imperceptible changes to workflow can significantly affect honesty.

After more than one million behavioral interventions with clients, we concluded that human decisions can be influenced with small suggestions â€" say, a reminder that “over 99 percent of people truthfully answer these questions.” Or a group might be reminded of a collective cause-and-effect. (“You and your colleagues will not be eligible for bonuses if any of you engage in illegal behavior.”)

Employing similar behavioral psychology in financial transactions can discourage bad actions. Some examples:

■ Getting legal advice: Financial institutions rely on their lawyers to determine what traders can “get away with.” Legal opinions that seem to countenance aggressive trading can reinforce troubling behavior on the part of traders and their firms. Showing lawyers the profound influence they have on trading action might dissuade them from endorsing or seeming to endorse questionable decisions.

■ Making the costs clear to clients: Modern technology allows firms to automatically trade against clients who are unaware of the practice or oblivious to it. Clients generally lose money on these trades. Such actions are legal, even if they’re unseemly. This type of behavior has to be defined as immoral within the industry, or it won’t be long before it is made illegal.

In the case of foreign exchange, trading firms that don’t inform clients at the time of a trade that the firm is using its own capital are essentially saying: “We like to maximize profit. Mind if we bet against you again on this one?” Now, what if a dialogue box popped up on the client’s computer, stating just that? That would give a client pause. Similarly, stating, in dollars, what clients will pay to convert currency in excess of the interbank foreign exchange rate could instantly change economic decisions, in our opinion.

■ Setting the right tone: Simple and constant reminders of good behavior can reinforce the message. Most people have difficulty imagining their money’s use far in the future, and ignore saving for their retirement. The same concept of money received later rather than sooner could reinforce good behavior around bonus time. Rather than paying bonuses frequently on positive economic outcomes, companies might ask employees to wait longer, and pay bonuses based on their behavior as a group.

We learned in the financial crisis of 2008 that risk perception and reality differed widely. Efforts to use social psychology to change behavior are resulting in two changes at the same time.

The first is a change in the general perception of business risk, and how much risk a firm should assume to make returns to shareholders. The second is more important and more controllable. It involves personal perceptions of how much risk they should take when, say, trading securities, to impress their bosses and presumably get a larger bonus.

I remember looking for asset management clients in New York and was referred to a big potential buyer. I was selling discounted commissions for online stock trading. When I proposed what I would charge per share, the prospect, clearly startled, asked:

“With that commission rate, how can you afford the stuff?” he asked. I didn’t understand. Stuff?

“Yeah,” he went on, “How can you send me to a fishing camp, or get me other stuff to get my business?”

I still work in the business. He doesn’t.

Doug Steiner is a financial services strategy consultant and a partner at BEworks Inc., a behavioral economics firm.