Mark Zuckerberg is liking a lot of deals.
After spending $19 billion on WhatsApp, the Facebook founder is doling out $2 billion - and possibly more - in cash and stock on a virtual reality newcomer, Oculus VR. It’s arguably a riskier bet than the messaging app. Both deals also suggest a buy, not build, approach.
Oculus, which got going thanks to a Kickstarter campaign less than two years ago, is a hot property, attracting rave reviews for its Rift headset. For some observers, the company, led by a co-founder, Brendan Iribe, has done for virtual reality what Apple’s iPhone did for smartphones: combine available technologies into a package that’s both user-friendly and a revelation for those who try it.
That’s how Mr. Zuckerberg sees it, and not just for the obvious gaming potential - Oculus’ initial market - but eventually for social interactions. He suggests the headsets and software could become the next big computing platform.
Facebook’s $165 billion market value and dual-class share structure allow Mr. Zuckerberg to spend the company’s stock on little more than a hunch. Nevertheless, Oculus still needs to realize a big slug of its potential to justify the price tag - especially as it won’t, as the Facebook finance chief put it during a conference call, have a material impact on its new parent’s revenue for now.
Mr. Zuckerberg, who still essentially calls all the shots at Facebook, is displaying a willingness to pay what look like high prices to snap up what might be the next big thing. That may be pragmatic, and he argues the $1 billion he paid for picture-sharing app Instagram in 2012 has worked out well. But that strategy could end up getting expensive, especially as it’s unclear what criteria Mr. Zuckerberg is using to measure success.
As it is, Andreessen Horowitz and other venture capital firms are entitled to rub their hands over the handsome turn they are making on the $75 million of Round B investment they served up to Oculus in December. But maybe they should watch their backs. Next time, Mr. Zuckerberg may not even wait for endorsement from venture capitalists before swallowing the next hot early-stage tech start-up. Just like them, except on a larger scale, he needs to spread his bets to ensure he has enough winners in his portfolio
Richard Beales is assistant editor for Reuters Breakingviews. For more independent commentary and analysis, visit breakingviews.com.
